Cycle Day 3 – The Whopper Reversal & VWAP Showdown
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Market Narrative: “Money Box Magic and the Whopper Redemption”
The session opened with all eyes on the Cycle Day 1 reset, and PTG traders came ready for tactical engagement.
Early trade leaned cautiously bullish, anchored around Manny’s premarket support at 6759, a Look-Below-and-Fail setup that would soon prove prophetic.
The morning flow saw bids fading and sellers pressing, forcing ES into a Cycle Day 1 Decline all the way to 6694, completing the projected downside range to the tick. As PTGDavid aptly noted — “Ran the full cycle range…”
Then came the Money Box Reversal, a textbook bounce that had the room laughing at the “voodoo.” Buyers stepped in precisely at Zero Gamma Buy Response (6734), flipping sentiment from despair to delight.
PTGDavid: “Sweet reversal from Money Box zone… it’s total voodoo.”
Afternoon Operations: The VWAP War
With the Bears holding early ball control, Bulls regrouped for the second act. The battleground? VWAP 6738–6740 — the “Line in the Sand.”
By 3:00 PM ET, Manny’s precision trade flow saw staged offers through 6728, 6733, 6738, each rotation testing resolve and reaction time. Then, the Whopper Recovery Objective hit, prompting PTGDavid’s victorious callout:
“Whopper tagged… Whopper recovery objective fulfilled.”
But as the clock approached the Market on Close, the tension spiked. A reported MOC Buy imbalance of $2.2B sparked a tug-of-war between liquidity scavengers and late-day momentum players.
Ultimately, price closed within the VWAP zone (6738–6740) — balance restored, but not without a few “whack-a-doodle” swings to finish the day.
Key Cycle Metrics
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📉 Cycle Day 1 Low: 6694
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📈 VWAP Zone (Close): 6738–6740
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🔁 Range Completion: Full CD1 projection achieved
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🧭 Cycle Outlook: Transition toward potential Cycle Day 2 Buy Reversal pending overnight acceptance above PL 6759
PTG Wisdom of the Day
“Between pre-market setups, ATRs, and premium/discount zones—you’re not guessing. You’re generating multiple non-random trade ideas with statistical intent.” — Manny
“The biggest enemy is not the market, but your own self-sabotage and engaging in garbage trading.” — PeterN