Markets
Source: SeekingAlpha.com
Economic Calendar
8:30 Housing Starts
10:00 Consumer Sentiment
10:45 Fed’s Kaplan Speech
12:30 PM Fed’s Kaplan Speech
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/
***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link
S&P 500
Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Price recovered the CD1 decline as dip buyers were aggressive throughout the session. Prior range was 47 handles on 1.238M contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3
This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Three-Day Cycle Statistic has been fulfilled as price is trading within prior value area. We’ll mark today as a “wild-card”. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
1.) Price sustains a bid above 4158, initially targets 4166 – 4168 zone.
2.) Price sustains an offer below 4158, initially targets 4145 – 4142 zone.
*****3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Statistic covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.
PVA High Edge = 4166 PVA Low Edge = 4146 Prior POC = 4158
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) June 2021 (M) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 4186; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4134; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4105; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4147; 10 Day Average True Range 31; VIX: 16.64
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price has fulfilled 3 Day Cycle Statistic and is currently trading back within prior value zone during overnight trade. Prior range was 245 handles on 514k contracts exchanged. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
PVA High Edge = 14019 PVA Low Edge = 13958 Prior POC = 14008
Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustain a bid above 14008, THEN initial upside estimate targets 14034 – 14065 zone.
Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustain an offer below 14008, THEN initial downside estimate targets 13975 – 13958 zone.
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) June 2021 (M) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 14136; LOD ATR Range Projection: 13839; 3 Day Central Pivot: 13910; 3 Day Cycle Target: 14137; 10 Day Average True Range: 184; VIX: 16.84
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN