Markets
Source: SeekingAlpha.com
Economic Calendar
8:30 Chicago Fed National Activity Index
10:30 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/
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S&P 500
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Cycle targets were fulfilled for this index ending a trend up week. Range was 36 handles on 1.214M contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal for CD1 is for an average decline measuring 4507.. Shallow decline during overnight trade activity as price reversed from prior close (4529.25) and is currently trading 4542 pre-RTH. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
1.) Price sustains a bid above 4536, initially targets 4546 – 4552 zone.
2.) Price sustains an offer below 4536, initially targets 4526 – 4516 zone.
*****3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Cycle Statistics covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.
PVA High Edge = 4546 PVA Low Edge = 4533 Prior POC = 4536
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December 2021 (Z) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 4578; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4506; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4528; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4557; 10 Day Average True Range; 41; VIX: 15.85
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Price is consolidating within prior value area (15410 – 15284) during overnight activity. Prior range was 190 handles on 528k contracts exchanged. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
PVA High Edge = 15392 PVA Low Edge = 15333 Prior POC = 15375
Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustain a bid above 15375, THEN initial upside estimate targets 15392 – 15410 zone.
Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustain an offer below 15375, THEN initial downside estimate targets 15350 – 15330 zone.
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December 2021 (Z) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 15468; LOD ATR Range Projection: 15220; 3 Day Central Pivot: 15375; 3 Day Cycle Target: 15511; 10 Day Average True Range: 172; VIX: 15.85
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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