Markets
Source: SeekingAlpha.com
Economic Calendar
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:00 PM Results of $36B, 10-Year Bond Auction
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/
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10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
S&P 500
***Written 8 pm Tuesday evening for Wednesday’s trading for contribution to MrTopStep’s “The Opening Print” publication.
Tuesday’s Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Price continued to power higher surpassing even the most bullish cycle range target. (MOC) was a $3.2 billion sell imbalance. Range was 110 handles on 1.672M contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3
This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Momentum favors the bulls, so ball control is theirs to lose. Since cycle objectives have been fulfilled and surpassed, momentum may push price higher, but failure to sustain a bid above Prior High (4697) may attract a deeper pullback to find renewed buy response. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
1.) Price sustains a bid above 4697, initially targets 4712 – 4715 zone.
2.) Price sustains an offer below 4697, initially targets 4683 – 4680 zone.
*****The 3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Cycle Statistics covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.
For more detailed information for both bullish and bearish projected targets, please visit: PTG 3 Day Cycle and/or reference the Cycle Spreadsheet below:
Link to access full Cycle Spreadsheet > > Cycle Day 3 (CD3)
PVA High Edge = 4693 PVA Low Edge = 4672 Prior POC = 4686
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December 2021 (Z) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 4769; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4624; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4594; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4600; 10 Day Average True Range 87; VIX: 21.75
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price has rallied overnight fulfilling CD3 Penetration target zone (16408 – 16432). Prior range was 550 handles on 581k contracts exchanged. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
PVA High Edge = 16344 PVA Low Edge = 16174 Prior POC = 16293
Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustain a bid above 16374, THEN initial upside estimate targets 16408 – 16432 zone.
Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustain an offer below 16374, THEN initial downside estimate targets 16320 – 16295 zone.
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December 2021 (Z) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 16720; LOD ATR Range Projection: 16045; 3 Day Central Pivot: 15916; 3 Day Cycle Target: 15864; 10 Day Average True Range: 392; VIX: 21.75
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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