Markets
Source: SeekingAlpha.com
Economic Calendar
8:30 GDP Q1
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
11:00 Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey
1:00 PM Results of $44B, 7-Year Note Auction
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/
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S&P 500
Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal CD2 unfolded as anticipated, albeit with wide swings throughout the session. From open to close, the S&P 500 Index (CASH: SPX) (ETF: SPY) (FUTURE: /ES) ended lower 0.95 (0.02%), within our implied move reading 1.2%….per Gamma-Guys. Range was 87 handles on 1.980M contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3
This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price is closing in on Cycle Target (4259) during overnight trade activity. Cycle Statistic is in-place, likely averting a second “failed-cycle”. We’ll mark today as a “wild-card” for direction with price still consolidating/balancing. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains bid above 4250, initially targets 4265 – 4270 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains offer below 4250, initially targets 4240 – 4235 zone.
PVA High Edge = 4213 PVA Low Edge = 4175 Prior POC = 4189
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) June 2022 (M) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 4296; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4162; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4250; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4259; 10 Day Average True Range 96; VIX: 29
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price is closing in on Cycle Target (13364) during overnight activity. Cycle Statistic is in-place, so we’ll mark today as a “wild-card” for direction with bulls/bears battling for control. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 13316, THEN initial upside estimate targets 13347 – 13387 zone.
Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 13316, THEN initial downside estimate targets 13265 – 13243 zone.
PVA High Edge = 13159 PVA Low Edge = 13011 Prior POC = 13111
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) June 2022 (M) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 13575; LOD ATR Range Projection: 12905; 3 Day Central Pivot: 13196; 3 Day Cycle Target: 13364; 10 Day Average True Range: 442; VIX: 29
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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