Trade Strategy 5.18.23

Markets (Top Stories)

Source: http://seekingalpha.com

Economic Calendar

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal CD1 as price declined establishing new cycle low at 4122, successfully retesting lower quartile support. At which time this cycle’s rally began, finally clearing the weekly log-jam and breaking out above 4150, fulfilling the 4175 – 4180 Target Zone. Prior range was 57 handles on 1.507M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Expectation for this session is for some back n fill to absorb yesterday’s breakout. There are additional upside targets yet to be fulfilled, so the current lean continues to favor long-side. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4165, initially targets 4195 – 4205 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4165, initially targets 4150 – 4145 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4180       PVA Low Edge = 4140         Prior POC 4170

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) June 2023 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4213; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4136; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4144; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4188; 10 Day Average True Range  47; VIX: 16

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal CD1 as price declined establishing new cycle low at 13474.25. Prior range was 195 handles on 613k contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Price is sustaining bid during overnight activity following yesterday’s breakout session. There are additional upside target objectives for this cycle, with bulls firmly in-control. Core trade strategy is to remain aligned with the dominant force, which is the long-side. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 13630, THEN initial upside estimate targets 13745– 13765 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 13630, THEN initial downside estimate targets 13600 – 13595 zone.

PVA High Edge = 13666       PVA Low Edge = 13521    Prior POC = 13644

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) June 2022 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 13798; LOD ATR Range Projection: 13512; 3 Day Central Pivot: 13507; 3 Day Cycle Target: 13738; 10 Day Average True Range: 169; VIX: 16

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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