Trade Strategy 9.19.23

Markets (Top Stories)

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal CD2 as price consolidated within parameters 4490 – 4515 outlined in prior DTS 9/18/23 Briefing. Prior range was 27 handles on 1.112M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Positive 3-day statistic will be fulfilled as long as price trades above 4494 during RTH.  Nothing has changed following CD2 consolidation. Trading is anticipated to be contained as traders await this week’s FOMC Meeting and Presser on Wednesday. Remember, price moves from contraction to expansion, etc. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4505, initially targets 4515 – 4520 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4505, initially targets 4495 – 4490 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4505       PVA Low Edge = 4492         Prior POC = 4500

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December 2023 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4543; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4467; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4527; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4521; 10 Day Average True Range  40; VIX: 14

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal CD2 as price consolidated within parameters 15320 – 15460 outlined in prior DTS 9/18/23 Briefing. Prior range was 130 handles on 591k contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Positive 3-day statistic will be fulfilled as long as price trades above 15356 during RTH.  Nothing has changed following CD2 consolidation. Trading is anticipated to be contained as traders await this week’s FOMC Meeting and Presser on Wednesday. Remember, price moves from contraction to expansion, etc. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 15400, initially targets 15450 – 15460 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 15400, initially targets 15325 – 15320 zone.

PVA High Edge = 15440       PVA Low Edge = 15389     Prior POC = 15410

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December 2023 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 15632; LOD ATR Range Projection: 15220; 3 Day Central Pivot: 15553; 3 Day Cycle Target: 15655; 10 Day Average True Range: 210; VIX: 14

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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