Trade Strategy 1.13.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Second consecutive negative week keeps “da bears” in short-term control as price works off this pullback. Three-Day Cycle is also experiencing failed reclaims during this correction. Historical cycle statistics favor long plays, so during this correction-phase, taking profits of LONG CALL positions more aggressively continues to be prudent management.

Once the markets are back in “up-trend mode”, then holding LONG CALL position to targets becomes the play. Consistency is the theme for 2025, so that means maintaining discipline to your trade strategy even during the drawdown periods. Range for this session was 114 handles on 2.00M contracts exchanged.

FREE TRIAL link to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 1.10.25

 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Price is below the CD1 Low (5929.25) with historical odds (92%) favoring recovery during CD3.

Odds of 3D Rally > 10 88%; > 20 68%; < 0 8%

BIG week on the economic calendar as the latest PPI & CPI reports are released. Markets reaction to the NFP was negative as the markets begin a “full week” of trading.

As stated, “da bears” have short-term control, although we know market sentiment can shift like the wind. Bulls love to draw the shorts in just to orchestrate a “face-ripping” squeeze!

PTG does not make predictions…We only expect Mr. Market to offer an endless stream of opportunities to implement our trade strategies.

Nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 5865+-, initially targets 5885 – 5890 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 5865+-, initially targets 5845 – 5840 zone.

PVA High Edge = 5895     PVA Low Edge = 5855         Prior POC = 5865

   ES (Profile)

 

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Second consecutive negative week keeps “da bears” in short-term control as price works off this pullback. Three-Day Cycle is also experiencing failed reclaims during this correction. Historical cycle statistics favor long plays, so during this correction-phase, taking profits of LONG CALL positions more aggressively continues to be prudent management.

Once the markets are back in “up-trend mode”, then holding LONG CALL position to targets becomes the play. Consistency is the theme for 2025, so that means maintaining discipline to your trade strategy even during the drawdown periods. Range for this session was 497 handles on 691k contracts exchanged.

 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Price is below the CD1 Low (21218) with historical odds (91%) favoring recovery during CD3.

Odds of 3D Rally > 10 96%; > 20 85%; < 0 9%

BIG week on the economic calendar as the latest PPI & CPI reports are released. Markets reaction to the NFP was negative as the markets begin a “full week” of trading.

As stated, “da bears” have short-term control, although we know market sentiment can shift like the wind. Bulls love to draw the shorts in, just to orchestrate a “face-ripping” squeeze!

PTG does not make predictions…We only expect Mr. Market to offer an endless stream of opportunities to implement our trade strategies.

Nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 21015+-, initially targets 21175 – 21214 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 21015+-, initially targets 20905 – 20875 zone.

PVA High Edge = 21181     PVA Low Edge = 20956         Prior POC = 21015

NQ (Profile)

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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