Trade Strategy 1.28.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: In prior DTS Briefing 1.27.25 we wrote: ***Caution is now warranted on new long-biased swing positions as recent buyers are weakening. Key Daily Support Level is marked at 6111. Should that level break, expectation would be for a deeper decline.”

Headline Risk (i.e. “Tape Bombs”) appear to be back in vogue, as *S&P 500 FUTURES SINK 1% AS DEEPSEEK SPARKS WORRY OVER US TECH was the catalyst during Sunday’s GLOBEX Session, creating a very wide “true-gap” lower.

Markets rebounded off the deep low, but consolidated is a fairly narrow range throughout the RTH Session, finding a “relief-bid” into the close as traders squared positions. Range for this session was 157 handles on 2.286M contracts exchanged.

FREE TRIAL link to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 1.27.25

 

Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

Transition into Cycle Day 2: Price has established a new cycle low at 5948 from which to rally over the next few sessions.

The late day “relief-bid” rally has already elevated price to fulfill the cycle target (6052.50). Normal for CD2 is to balance/consolidate prior sharp selloff.

There is plenty of room for price movement within the context of the sharp break lower and subsequent late date bounce. 

This week is filled with potentially headline moving topics: FOMC, Tariff Risk, and Earnings Reports.

Nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

****We’ll mark both 6035 and 6015 as “dual” initial Line in the Sand with the flexibility of adjusting accordingly to market generated information.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6035+-, initially targets 6065 – 6070 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6015+-, initially targets 6005 – 5995 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6044     PVA Low Edge = 6014         Prior POC = 6026

   ES (Profile)

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: Headline Risk (i.e. “Tape Bombs”) appear to be back in vogue, as *S&P 500 FUTURES SINK 1% AS DEEPSEEK SPARKS WORRY OVER US TECH was the catalyst during Sunday’s GLOBEX Session, creating a very wide “true-gap” lower. Nvidia (NVDA) closed down 16.97% losing more than $600B in valuation. Range for this session was 1007 handles on 1034 contracts exchanged.

 

Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

Transition into Cycle Day 2: Price has established a new cycle low at 20763.75 from which to rally over the next few sessions.

The late day “relief-bid” rally has already elevated price to fulfill the cycle target (21289.50). Normal for CD2 is to balance/consolidate prior sharp selloff.

There is plenty of room for price movement within the context of the sharp break lower and subsequent late date bounce. 

This week is filled with potentially headline moving topics: FOMC, Tariff Risk, and Earnings Reports.

Nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 21245+-, initially targets 21350 – 21420 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 21245+-, initially targets 21155 – 21100 zone.

PVA High Edge = 21290     PVA Low Edge = 21155         Prior POC = 21245

NQ (Profile)

 

Economic Calendar

 

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

Comments are closed.