Trade Strategy 5.21.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive 3-Day Cycle as price secured a rally above the CD1 Low (5923) which has an 89.92% historical performance track history.

Positive 3-Day Cycle Statistic is defined as Price Above the Cycle Day 1 Low on Cycle Day 3. P > CD1 on CD3.

It was a “grinder” of a trading day as volatility crush with narrow range, light volumes discouraged traders from actively participating. An orchestrated break of the Initial Balance Low (5950) forced longs to capitulate into the 5930 handle, before the Market Makers (M&M) ripped it right back higher into the closing bell.

Note: Some of the more “dangerous” trading days are like this one…Narrow range, low volume…Just ripe for the pickings for the M&M’s to just screw everyone over…just because they can…Trade Your Plan!

Range for this session was 66 handles on 1.060M contracts exchanged..

For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 5.20.25

PTG Glossary

FREE TRIAL link to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

 

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today begins a new cycle with the average decline projection measuring 5836.

The current three-week rally remains intact although with periods of swing declines to the lower boundary of the uptrend channel, providing savvy BTFD participants to cease the opportunity.

Shorts continue to struggle in the current up swing environment, as bulls are allowing them to push price lower only to “suck them in” and rip it back higher.

 

According to Goldman Sachs Research: Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) Now are Buyers In Every Scenario As Buybacks Accelerate And Bearish Funds Capitulate.

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 5960+-, initially targets 5970 – 5975 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 5960+-, initially targets 5950– 5940 zone.

PVA High Edge = 5970    PVA Low Edge = 5950         Prior POC = 5960

   ESM 

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive 3-Day Cycle as price secured a rally above the CD1 Low (21320) which has an 89.92% historical performance track history. Range for this session was 264 handles on 431k contracts exchanged.

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today begins a new cycle with the average decline projection measuring 20868.75. 

Maintain your discipline by only engaging in Triple A+ structure setups and follow your plan.

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

 

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 21430+-, initially targets 21525 – 21565 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 21430+-, initially targets 21325 – 21295 zone.

PVA High Edge = 21460     PVA Low Edge = 21390         Prior POC = 21430

NQM

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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