Trade Strategy 7.1.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2Normal CD2 as price consolidated rangebound throughout the session as End of Month / End of Quarter “window-dressing” was the dominant rhythm for this session.

Final push with a Market on Close Buy Imbalance of over $2.7Billion aided in the final push tagging 6265.50 as the high of the day

Range was 42 handles on 1.252M contracts exchanged.

FREE TRIAL link to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 6.30.25

Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Summer volumes and volatility have arrived with the Fourth of July Celebration on traders minds for the remainder of this shortened trading week.

Thursday markets close early @ 1:15 et and Friday July 4th, markets are closed.

PTG will be in attendance throughout the week, in-case there are good trading opportunities, though expectation is for lighter than average volumes and a relative tightening range rhythms. Of course Mr. Market is the final arbiter of what’s to happen. We’ll be monitoring the conditions closely for developments from the PTG Summer Trading Office which is in full swing with the straw hat and pina colada at the ready.. 

For Cycle Day 3 (CD3) price is securely above the CD1 Low (6183.25) which has a 90.63% historical Positive 3-Day Cycle performance record.

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6245+-, initially targets 6260 – 6265 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6245+-, initially targets 6230 – 6225 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6251    PVA Low Edge = 6233         Prior POC = 6238

   ESU

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2Normal CD2 as price consolidated rangebound throughout the session as End of Month / End of Quarter “window-dressing” was the dominant rhythm for this session.

Final push with a Market on Close Buy Imbalance of over $2.7Billion aided in the final push tagging 22934.75 as the high of the day

Range was a paltry 184 handles on 424k contracts exchanged. Welcome to summer!

 

Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Summer volumes and volatility have arrived with the Fourth of July Celebration on traders minds for the remainder of this shortened trading week.

Thursday markets close early @ 1:15 et and Friday July 4th, markets are closed.

For Cycle Day 3 (CD3) price is securely above the CD1 Low (22600) which has a 90.63% historical Positive 3-Day Cycle performance record. We’ll mark this session as a “wild-card” for direction.

 

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 22845+-, initially targets 22900 – 22935 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 22845+-, initially targets 22800 –  22780 zone.

PVA High Edge = 22871     PVA Low Edge = 22807         Prior POC = 22822

NQU 

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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