Scenario Execution – Monday Meat Grinder

Overnight trade in $ES marched higher, tapping the 6655–6660 target zone right out of the gate, with bulls holding a bid above 6645. $NQ matched pace, fulfilling its 24395–24420 target zone like clockwork.

Morning session offered the best looks: disciplined discount longs early, followed by premium plays on the bear shift later, tagging VWAP just as forecast. Midday devolved into a slow-churn grinder, with the tape looking like it was trying to saw traders in half. Lunch break came with a “Shake n Bake” setup tease, but conviction was scarce.

$CL delivered a cleaner outing—Open Range long hit targets before rolling into a tight stop trail. Meanwhile, quad witch + rollover + looming FOMC kept $ES range-bound, sandwiched between A4 and A10 zones, with $NQ doing its best to keep bears in check.

Takeaway: AM session was the sweet spot. PM turned into chop city with low-conviction rotations. Expect the rest of this week to carry a “snappy” rhythm as rollover, OPEX, and FOMC collide.

Trader Wisdom: “The best trade opportunities? Usually done before lunch. After that, it’s a meat grinder buffet—don’t be the steak.” 🥩⚔️