S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Theme of the Day:
🎯 “Liquidation Day – Controlled Burn Before the Reclaim.”
Cycle Day 3 brought its typical shakeout energy, delivering a textbook liquidation phase that hit key projections before stabilizing into the close.
Market Behavior Summary
The S&P (ES) unraveled early, extending downside pressure from the 6796.5 and 6776.5 triggers outlined pre-market. Price fulfilled the Cycle Day 3 range projection down to 6768.50, which also aligned with PTGDavid’s correction level mid-session — confirming the structural low for the day.
From open through late morning, all bounces were swiftly sold as sellers maintained full control. The 6785–6790 zone acted as a magnet — first as a breakdown point, later as resistance through multiple failed reclaim attempts.
Despite the sharp morning decline, structural supports beneath 6768.50 remained intact, leaving the broader bullish framework unviolated. By the afternoon, MOC flows flipped the tone with a $5.3B buy imbalance, a reminder that the “Big Boyz” were quietly reloading inventory at a discount.
Range was 51 handles on 1.316M contracts exchanged
For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 10.9.25 link.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today begins a new cycle with the average decline projection zone between (6774) and (6768) which both got fulfilled in the prior session’s liquidation.
Since the average decline has been satisfied, a few possible scenarios could unfold: 1.) Late day rally continues, reclaiming lost ground on the decline 2.) Rotation back lower to retest the lows to validate their “secureness.” 3.) Two-way directionless trade searching for an acceptable balance zone.
FRYday is CAPITAL PRESERVATION DAY”
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6775+-, initially targets 6790 – 6795 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6775+-, initially targets 6765 – 6760 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6784 PVA Low Edge = 6764 Prior POC = 6778
ESZ
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Having secured a Positive 3-Day Cycle by fulfilling cycle objectives, this session opened with a lower gap, sparking a long liquidation sell-off. Once the Open Range Low (25297) was violated, it was “elevator down”, fulfilling Cycle Day 1 (25186) decline objective.
Range for this session was 233 handles on 493k contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today begins a new cycle with the average decline projection (25186) which got fulfilled in the prior session’s liquidation.
Since the average decline has been satisfied, a few possible scenarios could unfold: 1.) Late day rally continues, reclaiming lost ground on the decline 2.) Rotation back lower to retest the lows to validate their “secureness.” 3.) Two-way directionless trade searching for an acceptable balance zone.
FRYday is CAPITAL PRESERVATION DAY”
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25280+-, initially targets 25360 – 25425 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25280+-, initially targets 25210 – 25195 zone.
PVA High Edge = 25280 PVA Low Edge = 25196 Prior POC = 25265
NQZ
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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