S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 2:Early Sequence: Risk-Off Fryday… Until It Wasn’t
Everything changed at 10:28–10:44 AM.
-
NQ reclaimed PL 25000
-
ES began its march toward 6746
-
DLMB reclaimed with trigger through the OPR high
-
Full-session VWAP at 6720.75 held beautifully as a continuation long
Then the spark:
“Now the BIG FRYday SQUEEZE underway.” — PTGDavid
And boom — ES ripped straight into:
-
Gap Fill
-
PC 6762.50 reclaimed
-
Immediate extension toward the Daily Pivot 6786.25
The pivot goal was fulfilled at 11:27:46 AM.
“Fantastic Fryday.” — PTGDavid
Range was 125 handles on 2.026M contracts traded.
For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 11.14.25 link.
…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3
Transition into Cycle Day 3: We step into CD3 with the Three-Day Cycle Stat (91.93%) glaring down at the auction like a hall monitor with a clipboard — and it stays unbroken only if price trades back above the CD1 Low at 6746 during RTH. No pressure, right?
The Bulls, fresh off last session’s scrappy defensive stand, now need to do more than just “show up.” They need a full-throttle counteroffensive, ideally holding the 6750 handle like it’s sacred ground and then muscling their way back into the 6790–6800 pivot zone. Only then can they claim the moral high ground and pretend CD2 wasn’t a little chaotic.
The Bears, of course, have other ideas. They’re sharpening claws, tightening formation, and eyeing that 6750 handle like a breach point in the fortress wall. A breakdown there opens the corridor for another round of long-liquidation mayhem, with a revisit — or break — of prior lows squarely on their agenda.
Battle lines are drawn. Helmets on.
CD3 opens the week with a knife-edge setup — and the tape will decide who gets bragging rights by lunch.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6750+-, initially targets 6790 – 6800 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6750+-, initially targets 6735 – 6725 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6793 PVA Low Edge = 6731 Prior POC = 6765
ESZ
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: The NQ marched in perfect formation with its ES counterpart, delivering a textbook Cycle Day 2 performance. The session opened with a gap lower — enough to give the Bears their moment in the sun — but that victory lap was short-lived.
Because the Bulls?
They had other plans.
Zero-Dated (0DTE) Call Buyers and freshly-squeezed Put Sellers stormed the Opening Range like they’d been waiting all week, igniting a full-throttle BTFD counteroffensive. Price ripped through 24760 with the kind of confidence typically reserved for late-stage short squeezes… and that’s exactly what it was. The upside assault didn’t finally stall until tagging 25293.25, the High of Day and the Bears’ collective pain point.
From there, the rest of the FRYday session drifted into a classic back-and-fill, non-directional cool-down — the market’s version of a long exhale into the weekend.
Range was 667 handles on 847k contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3
Transition into Cycle Day 3: – The Three-Day Cycle Statistic (91.93%) stays comfortably alive so long as price remains above the CD1 Low (25002.50) during the RTH session. Simple rule, big implications.
For the Bulls, today’s playbook is refreshingly linear:
• Stay above the CD1 Low,
• Secure VWAP at 25078,
• Then march right back into the 25250–25293 high-pivot battleground to flex proper control.
Think of it as “hold the line, reclaim the throne.”
The Bears, meanwhile, have their eyes locked on a single mission:
Shove price back below 25000, trigger the panic-unwind brigade, and feast on shaken inventory.
Plenty of twists ahead on this week’s trading highway — stay buckled in, stay disciplined, and let the tourists hit the guardrails instead of you.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25078+-, initially targets 25250 – 25295 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25078+-, initially targets 25000 – 24900 zone.
PVA High Edge = 25281 PVA Low Edge = 24946 Prior POC = 26136
NQZ
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.
This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN