Trade Strategy 11.25.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: “Turkey Trot Ascendancy: Bears Placed on the Holiday Menu”

The week kicked off with Cycle Day 2 rhythms, and the market behaved like it actually read the MATD handbook for once.
6630 was your “Line in the Sand,” and it held like a champ throughout the overnight and into the early cash session.


Range was 106 handles on 1.554M contracts traded.

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 11.24.25 link.


Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Bulls stormed into Cycle Day 3 like they’d spent the weekend plugged into a Tesla Supercharger. With the Three-Day Cycle Stat (92.02%) firmly locked in above the 6613.46 cycle target, there was zero hesitation off the opening range. Da Bears? They took one look at the charge forming and wisely sprinted for higher ground before getting gouged into Thanksgiving décor.

Price ripped straight up and closed near the highs — only halted by the bell, not by any opposing force. Momentum remains so one-sided that this cycle now carries the potential badge of a “Super Cycle.” What was supposed to be a polite Turkey Trot morphed into a full-blown sprint to the holiday finish line.

Upside targets:
6746 → 6764 → 6782, with stretch potential toward 6813.

Downside pullbacks — if the market is generous enough to offer any — will be viewed as prime reload zones in the 6680–6665 pocket. Bears are not expected to mount any meaningful counter-offensive; at best, they’re just bystanders hoping not to get trampled by this horn-down charge into Thanksgiving week.


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6720+-, initially targets 6745 – 6765 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6720+-, initially targets 6680 – 6665 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6730    PVA Low Edge = 6681         Prior POC = 6723

   ESZ

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 The prior session set the tone as a textbook Cycle Day 2, with the NQ shadowing the ES tick-for-tick straight off the opening print—a perfect display of high-beta tech flexing its supercharged muscles.

Range was 631 handles on 593k contracts exchanged. 

Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

By the time we roll into today’s Cycle Day 3, every Cycle target has already been smoked, stamped, and sent to the archive. We’re operating inside a potential Super Cycle finale, where bullish momentum remains deeply entrenched… but make no mistake: today qualifies as a full-blown “wild-card” session.

Bulls have control of the steering wheel—for now. But in true CD3 fashion, an outside-day reversal trapdoor is always lurking beneath the floorboards if they get sloppy. Strap in; this one has “volatility kink” written all over it.


 

 

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 24930+-, initially targets 25078– 25165 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 24930+-, initially targets 24815 –  24780 zone.

PVA High Edge = 24992     PVA Low Edge = 24672         Prior POC = 24932

NQZ 

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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