S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: Textbook CD1
Straight out of the starter’s blocks, Cycle Day 1 decline unfolded in textbook fashion breaking the Open Range Low and accelerated southbound throughout the day.
Cycle Day 1 Low (Z) = 6805
🎯 Final Takeaway
A masterclass CD1 decline, executed with precision: initial flush, Money Box response, vol-trigger feint, structured stair-step lower, and late-day rotation games.
If you read the DTS Briefing, you were unbothered.
If you didn’t… well… David knows.
For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 12.12.25 link.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
Transition into Cycle Day 2: NOTICE: Contract Rollover — March (H) now in charge, carrying a ~60-point premium over December (Z).
Mind your charts. Mind your fills. Mind your ego.
Post-FOMC, we hit the reset button — but don’t confuse “fresh start” with “clean breakout.” Price remains boxed inside a two-week consolidation range between 6850–6990 (March contract). Translation: lots of motion, very little progress, and the exchange is once again the best-performing participant in the room.
The line in the sand today is 6890 (ESH) — and our official Mason-Dixon Line for directional control. This is not just another number on the chart; it’s the battlefield that decides who gets to write the year-end narrative.
Cycle Day 2 Focus:
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Bull Case: Hold north of 6890, dig in, establish ground control, and force shorts to reconsider their life choices.
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Bear Case: Lose 6890, watch it crack under pressure, and let downside momentum accelerate as trapped longs start heading for the exits.
Whichever side owns 6890 owns the tone, the tape, and potentially the final chapter of the year. Choose your side wisely — and trade it cleaner than the politicians draw maps.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6890+-, initially targets 6915 – 6930 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6890+-, initially targets 6875 – 6865 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6911 PVA Low Edge = 6870 Prior POC = 6890
ESH
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: A textbook Cycle Day 1 “normal” decline, with the RED Army pressing the advantage and winning the opening skirmish. Sellers forced the GREEN Army to abandon the high ground, retreating strategically to defend the more important underlying territory — capital preservation over heroics.
This wasn’t a rout, but it was a reminder: early-cycle momentum favors initiative. With pressure mounting, reinforcements were required — cue the National Guard, stepping in to stabilize the front lines and fend off further intrusions.
The battle lines are drawn, the fog of war is lifting, and the market has officially entered engagement mode. Cycle Day 2 now decides whether yesterday’s push was a one-day offensive… or the opening chapter of something bigger.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
Transition into Cycle Day 2: “The El Dorado Gambit” The battlefield has been unusually disciplined — nearly a full week of trench warfare with Bulls and Bears deadlocked between 25,445 and 26,100 (March-adjusted). These value edges have become the market’s unofficial DMZ, and so far neither side has had the conviction (or the nerve) to overextend. Everyone’s waiting for someone else to make the first mistake.
As trading reengages, the Chicago Bears currently hold the initiative, with the Chicago Bulls on their heels and backpedaling. That’s not exactly a confidence booster for the bullish camp — but markets have a long and colorful history of flipping control swiftly and without apology. Comfort is temporary. Complacency is expensive.
Cycle Day 2 mandates discipline.
This is not a day for prediction — it’s a day for confirmation.
We wait.
We watch.
And when the dust settles, perhaps the path to El Dorado finally comes into focus.
Until then: let the market lead — we follow with precision.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25445+-, initially targets 25550 – 25600 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25445+-, initially targets 25370 – 25335 zone.
PVA High Edge = 25621 PVA Low Edge = 25401 Prior POC = 25495
NQH
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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