Cycle Day 3 | OPEX | Wild-Card Auction
Capital Preservation Day. Executed to Spec.
The Three-Day Cycle Statistic officially punched the clock this morning, kicking today into full-blown Cycle Day 3 “Wild-Card” mode, courtesy of Options Expiration. Translation: this was never about “discovery” — it was about who needed what, where, and how fast.
FRYday did what FRYday does best:
liquidity games, positioning shenanigans, and premium extraction… all before lunch.
🎯 DTS Briefing (Pre-Market)
The Line in the Sand: 6985 ±5
🟢 Bull Case:
Hold north of 6985 → 6995 → 7000 → 7005
🔴 Bear Case:
Hold south of 6985 → 6975 → 6970 → 6965
Bias stayed intentionally light. Inventory protection > hero trades.
(There’s always another cycle coming.)
📉 How It Actually Played Out
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Early upside probes quickly met with “thanks for the liquidity”
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Failure to sustain above structural resistance flipped the switch
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Sellers took control exactly where they were supposed to
🔴 6975 tagged
🔴 6970 tagged
🔴 6965 tagged
All DTS Bear Case targets fulfilled, clean and in order.
NQ and CL Open Range objectives also completed, confirming this was a rotation and liquidation session, not a trend day.
🧠 Tape Read (PTG Translation)
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Textbook OPEX mechanics: positioning first, narrative later
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Dynamic Levels and Money Boxes did the heavy lifting
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Range only expanded after liquidity was harvested
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FRYday once again reminded us why overtrading is a donation
🧾 Closing Bell Notes
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MOC Sell Imbalance: ~$600M
(Translation: mice nuts, but enough to keep pressure on) -
Risk de-risked into the long weekend
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No reason to press, no reason to chase
Final Take:
Plan respected. Targets delivered. Risk contained.
Professionals ate. Amateurs donated.
🍸 Martini Time. HAGWE.