Trading Room RECAP 1.16.26

Cycle Day 3 | OPEX | Wild-Card Auction

Capital Preservation Day. Executed to Spec.

The Three-Day Cycle Statistic officially punched the clock this morning, kicking today into full-blown Cycle Day 3 “Wild-Card” mode, courtesy of Options Expiration. Translation: this was never about “discovery” — it was about who needed what, where, and how fast.

FRYday did what FRYday does best:
liquidity games, positioning shenanigans, and premium extraction… all before lunch.


🎯 DTS Briefing (Pre-Market)

The Line in the Sand: 6985 ±5

🟢 Bull Case:
Hold north of 6985 → 6995 → 7000 → 7005

🔴 Bear Case:
Hold south of 6985 → 6975 → 6970 → 6965

Bias stayed intentionally light. Inventory protection > hero trades.
(There’s always another cycle coming.)


📉 How It Actually Played Out

  • Early upside probes quickly met with “thanks for the liquidity”

  • Failure to sustain above structural resistance flipped the switch

  • Sellers took control exactly where they were supposed to

🔴 6975 tagged
🔴 6970 tagged
🔴 6965 tagged

All DTS Bear Case targets fulfilled, clean and in order.

NQ and CL Open Range objectives also completed, confirming this was a rotation and liquidation session, not a trend day.


🧠 Tape Read (PTG Translation)

  • Textbook OPEX mechanics: positioning first, narrative later

  • Dynamic Levels and Money Boxes did the heavy lifting

  • Range only expanded after liquidity was harvested

  • FRYday once again reminded us why overtrading is a donation


🧾 Closing Bell Notes

  • MOC Sell Imbalance: ~$600M
    (Translation: mice nuts, but enough to keep pressure on)

  • Risk de-risked into the long weekend

  • No reason to press, no reason to chase


Final Take:
Plan respected. Targets delivered. Risk contained.
Professionals ate. Amateurs donated.

🍸 Martini Time. HAGWE.

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