S&P 500 (ES)

Cycle Day 3 RECAP – Precision > Prediction

Cycle Day 3 delivered exactly what the playbook promised: range expansion, clean level interaction, and disciplined execution — with just enough tech gremlins to keep everyone humble.

Overnight → Early RTH: Textbook Setup

Overnight trade tagged the CD3 Violation target at 6890 and did what it was supposed to do: reversed. No drama, no heroics — just business.

The Line in the Sand at 6825 was reclaimed and rested successfully, igniting a responsive rally that fulfilled the upper Bull Case target at 6955. That reclaim was the tell.

Most importantly, price held above the CD1 Low at 6911.25, officially securing a Positive 3-Day Cycle — keeping the 92% success statistic alive and well.
Stats matter. Structure matters more.

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 1.26.26 link.

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…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Cycle Day 1 Playbook: Reload Longs on Decline

Markets are front-running Wednesday’s Fed presser, with traders stepping in early rather than waiting for confirmation. Yesterday delivered the textbook CD1 setup—a brief dip below the Cycle Day 1 Low followed by a clean reclaim—igniting the rally outlined in the RECAP.

Cycle Day 1 typically allows for some magnitude of downside, with the initial average decline targeting the 6956 handle. Any pullback into this zone is viewed as inventory reload, not trend failure. Weakness is expected—and welcomed.

Bulls demonstrated control in the prior session by defending 6970, establishing it as the first line of support on any overnight or early-session retracement. A successful test here keeps momentum intact.

If downside remains shallow and orderly, look for continuation through the prior high at 6995, opening the door for a 7000 handle print and Cycle Day 1 expansion.

Bottom line: CD1 favors buying weakness, not chasing strength. Stay patient, let price come to you, and reload with intent.

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The Two Pillars of the PTG Trade Plan

1️⃣ Stay Aligned with the Dominant Force
Think current, not prediction.

When price structure establishes a support zone, we don’t argue—we align. Bias shifts to a long-lean, and we patiently stalk entries via Stackers or the first PB ATR / Discount.
When structure flips? Same process, opposite direction. No emotion. No hero trades. Just flow.

Picture a surfer:
You don’t fight the wave—you paddle, position, and let gravity do the work.

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2️⃣ Trade from Statistical Range Extremes
Welcome to the wabbit hunt 🐇

PKB entries inside the D-Level Money Box (DLMB) Zones live here. And let’s be clear—this is not counter-trend trading. This is timing.

When range values stretch too far, Market Makers don’t chase—they set traps. Stops get flushed. Liquidity gets harvested. Price snaps back like a rubber band.

This is reversionary trading inside range-type rhythms—
high accuracy, repeatable, and ruthless when executed correctly.

Cue the imagery:
Lights dim. Liquidity pools glow. Stops line up like dominos.
M&M’s smile. Click. Run the stops.

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The Toolbox Matters—But the Hand Using It Matters More

The PTG Trader Toolbox has everything (yes, even the weird wrench you didn’t know you needed).
Your job isn’t to use everything.
Your job is to master the right tools for your plan.

The PTG Member’s Area is stacked—dozens of educational videos, real trade examples, and market walkthroughs designed to compress learning curves and eliminate guesswork.

And when the chart gets loud?
PTGDavid is always in the room.
Guiding. Grounding. Keeping traders on the right side of structure and statistics.

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Cycle Day 1 isn’t about being right.
It’s about being ready.

Strap in. Manage risk.
And let volatility do what it does best. 💥📊

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   ESH

Nasdaq (NQ)

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…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: Decline or Continuation?

Yesterday’s NQ plan was straightforward  for Cycle Day 3 — reclaim the CD1 Low (25483.75) off the GLOBEX gap lower and make the sellers second-guess their failed attempt to force liquidation.

MISSION ACCOMPLISHED.
CD1 Low reclaimed…Rally unfolded…Securing Positive Three-Day Cycle.

Fast-forward to today.

Cycle Day 1 = gravity audit
Not a verdict. Not a prophecy. Just Mr. Market stepping on the scale and lying about his diet.

25795 = Average Decline…First back test level

• First real spot where dip buyers either show receipts or make excuses

• Holding = controlled digestion, continuation still on the menu

• Losing it = deeper snack run, same cycle, same rules

And the key part most people miss (and overthink anyway):

• CD1 dips are supposed to feel uncomfortable

• Strength doesn’t announce itself — it withstands annoyance

• Weak conviction always dies dramatically, preferably on social media

No predictions.
No narrative cosplay.
Just levels, reactions, and emotional discipline.

Trade the levels.
Laugh at the noise.
Protect capital like it’s meme-worthy.

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NQH 

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN