Trade Strategy 2.24.26

S&P 500 (ES)

🧱 Cycle Day 2 Recap

When the snow is piling up, the power’s flickering, and the plow guy forgets the blade… that’s not chaos — that’s Cycle Day 2 energy.

And just like the storm outside, price did exactly what CD2 does best:

👉 Both sides. Fully delivered. No mercy.

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 2.23.26 link.


Cycle Day 3: 3-Day Cycle Objective FULFILLED — “Wild-Card” Day 🎯

Three-Day Cycle targets?
✔️ Done.
✔️ Fulfilled.
✔️ In the books.

All that remains is for price to trade above the Cycle Day 1 Low (6847.25) during RTH to secure a Positive 3-Day Cycle Statistic.

When a 3-Day Cycle objective completes, we shift from initiative mindset to inventory management mindset. The easy money phase is over. Now comes the Wild-Card — where emotion replaces structure and amateurs donate back what they just earned.

Let’s talk numbers — because numbers don’t care about opinions:

📊 3-Day Cycle Statistics

  • Positive 3 Day Cycle: 92.39%

  • Average Positive 3 Day Cycle: +95.01 points

  • Average Failed (7.65%) 3 Day Cycle: –35.16 points

  • Win/Loss Ratio: 2.71 : 1

  • Maximum Profit: +239.25 points

  • Maximum Drawdown: –54.50 points

  • Average Profit: +76.13 points

This is not random behavior.
This is structural edge.


🧠 What “Wild-Card” Day Really Means

After fulfillment:

  • Late longs chase continuation.

  • Early longs protect gains.

  • Shorts probe for reversal.

  • Dealers rebalance.

  • Volatility compresses… then expands.

The market is no longer seeking targets.
It is seeking imbalance.

That’s why Cycle Day 3 after fulfillment becomes tactical:

  • Fade extremes, not breakouts.

  • Reduce size.

  • Trade levels, not narratives.

  • Protect cycle profits like they matter — because they do.


🎯 The Professional Mindset

Professionals understand something critical:

The edge was in the cycle objective, not in emotional continuation.

When the objective completes:

  • Expect rotational trade.

  • Expect two-sided order flow.

  • Expect traps.

Wild-Card days are not for forcing trades.
They are for precision.


You don’t need a big move.

You need controlled execution inside statistical dominance.

Cycle fulfilled.
Inventory repositioning begins.
Stay sharp.


🎯 Cycle Day 3 Focus

Scenarios for today’s trade

🟢 Bull Case — Buyers Stay in Control

Acceptance north of 6850 ±5

Upside objectives:
• 6865
• 6870
• 6875


🔴 Bear Case — Rotation / Reset

Acceptance south of 6850 ±5

Downside objectives:
• 6845
• 6840
• 6835


📊 Key Reference Levels

• PVA High Edge: 6871
• PVA Low Edge: 6835
• Prior POC: 6850


⚠️ Tactical Takeaway

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.


   ESH

Nasdaq (NQ)


Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Cycle Day 3 – The MAGS – 7 Rollercoaster Ride

Alright… helmets on.

The so-called Magnificent 7 — have been strutting around like rockstars… but trading like they forgot the lyrics.

Up.
Down.
Fake breakout.
Back in the box.

Portfolio managers quietly reshuffling deck chairs while the crowd screams, “This is it!” every 17 minutes.

Cute….But now we’ve arrived at Cycle Day 3.

And CD3 doesn’t care about your feelings.


🎯 The Wild Card Has Entered the Chat

Cycle objectives?
Handled.

Range defined?
Yes.

Direction?
Earn it.

Cycle Day 3 is where markets stop flirting… and decide whether they’re serious.

This is where:

  • Breakouts either grow teeth

  • Breakdowns either gain traction

  • Or chop merchants get paid (again)

No free clues.
No pre-written script.
Just structure… and who’s bold enough to press it.


🧠 PTG Playbook (Translation: Lace ‘Em Up)

If the MAGS-7 want higher → expand range and don’t look back.
If they want lower → bring volume and mean it.
If they stall → we scalp the edges and send a thank-you note.

We are not here to hope.

We are here to engage.

Cycle Day 3 is participation season.
You don’t sit in the stands.
You don’t guess.
You react. You press. You manage.


🎯 Cycle Day 3 Focus

Scenarios for today’s trade

🟢 Bull Case — Buyers Stay in Control

Acceptance north of 24750 ±10

Upside objectives:
• 24825
• 24855
• 24875


🔴 Bear Case — Rotation / Reset

Acceptance south of 24750 ±10

Downside objectives:
• 24735
• 24700
• 24680


📊 Key Reference Levels

• PVA High Edge: 24858
• PVA Low Edge: 24673
• Prior POC: 24735


⚠️ Tactical Takeaway

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.


NQH 

 

Economic Calendar


Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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