Trade Strategy 9.16.16

Markets

The new iPhone 7 and 7 Plus go on sale at Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) stores and carrier retail locations in more than 25 countries today, with prices starting at $649. But this year, the company will not disclose opening weekend sales numbers because they are “determined more by supply than demand.” With strong handset pre-orders, Apple shares have so far gained 12% in what could be their best week since October 2011.

In Asia, Japan +0.7% to 16519. Hong Kong +0.6% to 23335. China -0.7% to 3002. India +0.7% to 28599.
In Europe, at midday, London flat. Paris -0.6%. Frankfurt -0.6%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.3%. S&P -0.3%. Nasdaq -0.3%. Crude -1.3% to $43.96. Gold -0.2% to $1315.90.
Ten-year Treasury Yield -3 bps to 1.67%

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar

8:30 Consumer Price Index
10:00 Consumer Sentiment
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count
4:00 PM Treasury International Capital

PTG Trading

Bulls had another “bite at the Apple” in prior session as enthusiasm increased that there will not be a September “surprise” at next weeks Fed Meeting and any interest rate increase will be pushed out to December. As such, Bulls fended off early sellers and in fine fashion price rallied the remainder of session achieving 2141 handle Cycle Day 3 Penetration Level concluding a Positive 3 Day Cycle.

Today begins new Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Having exceeded all upper cycle targets the next cycle decline can begin to unfold. Average Decline on CD1 measures 2123.50.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD Range Projection: 2150.50; LOD Range Projection: 2113.00; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2112.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2126.75; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2136.25; 10 Day Average True Range: 24.05

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: September (Z) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1: Price has declined off PH (2144.50) in overnight trade down to 2126.75 (3D CPZ). Bulls will need to keep price from falling further and reverse from this level. Initial objective would be to convert 2135 handle to new support.

Scenario 2: Expectation for CD1 is a decline and price is accommodating in overnight trade down to 2126.75 (3D CPZ). Average Decline on CD1 measures 2123.50. Further weakness below this level would favor potentially giving up all of prior sessions gains.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone. Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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