Trade Strategy 12.15.17

Markets
 
U.S. stock index futures are set for a positive open as investors shake off concerns about the progress of U.S. tax reform. In the previous session, U.S. equities fell into the red by the close, with several Republican senators expressing last-minute doubts about the tax overhaul. The reservations come before a compromise plan set to be released by Congress today and final votes planned for early next week.
 
In Asia, Japan -0.6%. Hong Kong -1.1%. China -0.8%. India +0.7%
In Europe, at midday, London +0.1%. Paris -0.4%. Frankfurt -0.3%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.2%. S&P +0.1%. Nasdaq +0.2%. Crude +0.7% to $57.44. Gold +0.3% to $1260.30. Bitcoin +7.7% to $17806. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 2.36%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar

8:30 Empire State Mfg Survey
9:15 Industrial Production
10:00 Atlanta Fed’s Business Inflation Expectations
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count
4:00 PM Treasury International Capital

S&P 500 (ES)

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Average CD1 Decline Target Zone (2660 – 2654) was achieved in prior session. Secure CD1 Low is now marked at 2651.75. Price is rallying in overnight trade currently 10 handles higher. Average CD2 Range target measures 2666 handle.

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

NAZ declined in prior session successfully testing the all-important 6400 Roundie. Cycle Day 1 Secure Low is now marked at 6402.50. Price has rallied back to P-VWAP 6226. Upper conversion of this level to support opens door for to retest prior high (6443.75).

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES)

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2670.68; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2643.27; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2651.75 3 Day Central Pivot: 2665.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2677.33; 10 Day Average True Range: 17.98; VIX: 10.14

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

Click Here

Today’s Hypotheses: March 2018 (ESH) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1: IF price clears and converts P-VWAP (2663) to upper support, THEN upside targets 2667 followed by 2671.

Scenario 2: Failure to converts P-VWAP (2663) to support opens door to retest 2654.25 CD1 cash session low.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


Leave a Reply