7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
10:00 Factory Orders
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 PM Money Supply
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet

S&P 500

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 2801.50. Average Range for CD1 is 24.50 handles. Odds of decline > 10 handles = 72% Odds of decline > 20 = 42%

Market Bias: Bearish

CD1 Range High = 2815.50         CD1 Range Low = 2790.50         CD1 Range Avg = 24.50 

Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above 2813.75, THEN upside targets 2821.50.

Scenario 2: IF price holds offer below 2813.75 and subsequently violates 2805.50, THEN downside targets 2793.50 – 2790.50 CD1 Range Violation Zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) September (U) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2812.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2793.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2814.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2821.50; 10 Day Average True Range 21.50; VIX: 14.39

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 7213.75. Average Range for CD1 is 88.00 handles. Odds of decline > 20 handles = 73% Odds of decline > 25 = 64%

CD1 Range High = 7266.25          CD1 Range Low = 7205.25          CD1 Range Avg = 88.00

Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above 7286.00, THEN upside targets 7293.00.

Scenario 2: IF price holds offer below 7286.00 and subsequently violates 7241.00, THEN downside targets 7215.00 – 7205.25 CD1 Range Violation Zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) September (U) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 7318.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 7190.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 7255.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 7278.50; 10 Day Average True Range: 102.75; VIX: 14.39

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN