Cycle Day 2 – “Turkey Trot Ascendancy: Bears Placed on the Holiday Menu”
By PTGDavid
KEY LINKS:
-
Polaris Trading Group: https://polaristradinggroup.com/
-
Daily Trade Strategy: https://polaristradinggroup.com/blog/ptg-daily-trade-strategy/
-
Daily Range Calculator: https://polaristradinggroup.com/daily-range-calculator/
-
Follow on X/Twitter: https://x.com/polaristrading
-
CFTC Rule 4.41 Disclaimer: https://www.dropbox.com/s/hq5ukmcnparpae9/CFTC%20Rule%204.41.jpg?dl=0
⏩ MORNING SESSION – “Green Monday = Green Week”
The week kicked off with Cycle Day 2 rhythms, and the market behaved like it actually read the MATD handbook for once.
6630 was your “Line in the Sand,” and it held like a champ throughout the overnight and into the early cash session.
Manny set the tone early with a Green Monday confession, which in PTG culture is basically a statistically-approved good omen. History says: Green Monday → Green Week → Solid Month.
Science.
Early Support Buys were on the menu, and while SB #2 slipped through unnoticed in premarket fog, 6643 longs were snagged cleanly after the structure shift.
PTG called the initial upside target of 6665 fulfilled in textbook fashion — straight out of the DTS Briefing.
Bulls took the wheel and didn’t ask for directions.
⏩ MID-SESSION – “Turkey Trot Engagement”
Once price pressed through the 6690s, bulls needed to C&C (Clear & Convert) — and they did exactly that.
Longs paid.
A4 flipped.
A10 runners trailed until they couldn’t.
The theme of the day:
“For now it’s longs or nothing until the structure shifts.”
The Money Box upper target zone hit perfectly and, in classic fashion, acted as both the magnet and the reversal hinge.
We love it when a plan fulfills the statistical destiny.
⏩ AFTERNOON SESSION – “Shake-n-Bake & Rebalance Shenanigans”
At 2 PM, Shake-n-Bake fired on schedule. Bulls still maintained ball control, but by 2:36 PM, Bears finally managed a structural flip, giving us actionable bounces.
Below 6722–25, bears briefly grabbed the football and ran with it.
Closing hour turned into a lively MSCI + MOC roulette wheel:
-
Early MOC: $4B Sell
-
Flip: $1.3B Buy
-
Final: $3B Buy
PTG’s take:
“Fun to watch; absolutely no edge.”
Smart traders spectated.
Dumb traders speculated.
As always.
⏩ THEME OF THE DAY – “Turkey-Bear Stew”
PTG called it at 11:20 AM:
“Today begins the Bull’s ‘Turkey Trot’ and the Bears are on the menu.”
The market obliged. Bears were nurtured, simmered, and served warm by the close.
⏩ CYCLE DESTINY
Bulls maintained ball control from open to close.
No drama. No misdirection.
Just clean Cycle-Day statistical flow.
This sets up a positive 3-Day Cycle heading into CD3.
Prepare accordingly.