Markets
Economic Calendar
8:30 Producer Price Index
8:30 Retail Sales
9:00 Fed’s Bostic Speech
9:15 Industrial Production
9:30 Fed’s Bullard Speech
10:00 Business Inventories
10:00 NAHB Housing Market Index
1:00 PM Results of $12B, 20-Year Bond Auction
2:00 PM Fed’s Beige Book
4:00 PM Treasury International Capital
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/
***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link
S&P 500
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price rallied surpassing prior high fulfilling cycle objectives, then the decline began closing in the lower quartile of the day’s range. Prior range was 35 handles on 1.227M contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Average Decline measures 3969. Normal for CD1 is a decline to find a new secure cycle low. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4000, initially targets 4015 – 4020 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4000, initially targets 3985 – 3980 zone.
PVA High Edge = 4020 PVA Low Edge = 4008 Prior POC = 4012
*****The 3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Cycle Statistics covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.
For more detailed information for both bullish and bearish projected targets, please visit: PTG 3 Day Cycle and/or reference the Cycle Spreadsheet below:
Link to access full Cycle Spreadsheet > > Cycle Day 1 (CD1)
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2023 (H) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 4062; LOD ATR Range Projection: 3963; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4009; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4046; 10 Day Average True Range 66; VIX: 19
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Average Decline measures 11407. Normal for CD1 is a decline to find a new secure cycle low. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 11600, THEN initial upside estimate targets 11645– 11665 zone.
Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 11600, THEN initial downside estimate targets 11570 – 11560 zone.
PVA High Edge = 11645 PVA Low Edge = 11578 Prior POC = 11615
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2023 (H) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 11841; LOD ATR Range Projection: 11433; 3 Day Central Pivot: 11573; 3 Day Cycle Target: 11776; 10 Day Average True Range: 259; VIX: 19
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.
This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN