Trade Strategy 1.28.26

S&P 500 (ES)


Cycle Day 1 | “Thank You Very Much” Edition

Cycle Day 1 showed up like Elvis in Vegas —
loud, confident, and demanding applause.

Key levels behaved exactly as advertised:

  • ES 6970 = velvet rope security

  • 6995 = VIP entrance

  • 7010 / 7015 = champagne room 🥂

Result?
👉 Cycle Day 1 Expansion
👉 Shorts questioning life choices
👉 Bulls humming softly while counting points

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 1.27.26 link.


Transition from Cycle Day 1 → Cycle Day 2

🚨 FED DAY PREVIEW — 

“All Hat, No Cattle… or Is It?”

Ah yes.
Fed Day.
The market’s favorite episode of America’s Next Top Interest Rate.

Today’s main event isn’t about what the Fed does —
because spoiler alert: rates are staying put.

No one’s cutting.
No one’s hiking.
The rate button is bolted to the floor.

👉 This is a PRESSER DAY.
And that’s where the fun begins.


🎤 Jerome Powell: Professional Vibe Curator

Powell’s job today is simple (and impossible):

  • Sound confident without sounding cocky

  • Sound cautious without sounding terrified

  • Say “data dependent” 47 times without blinking

Every adjective will be parsed.
Every eyebrow raise will be traded.
Every pause will cause a 30-handle rip… or dump… or both.

Markets aren’t listening for answers
they’re listening for tone leaks.


🧠 What the Market Wants to Hear

(But Probably Won’t)

  • “Inflation is behaving”

  • “Labor is cooling nicely”

  • “We’re closer to cutting than you think 😉”

What the market will actually get:

“We are making progress, but risks remain.”

Translation:
Don’t get cute. Don’t get married. And definitely don’t get emotional.


📉📈 Volatility Forecast: Spicy, With a Side of Whiplash

Expect:

  • Knee-jerk algo nonsense

  • Fake breakdowns

  • Fake breakouts

  • Real traders getting blamed for algo crimes

This is not a trend-day audition.
This is a liquidity harvest.


🧭 PTG Trader Guidance (Read This Twice)

  • First move = suspect

  • Second move = questionable

  • Third move = maybe real… maybe not

Fed Days are where discipline beats conviction
and patience beats prediction.

You don’t need to be early.
You need to be alive.


🏁 Bottom Line

The Fed isn’t here to save you.
They’re here to talk calmly while markets lose their minds.

Trade smaller.
Think slower.
Let others volunteer as liquidity.

And remember…

Powell speaks.
Markets react.
PTG waits.


🎯 Cycle Day 2 Focus — Scenarios in Play

🟢 Bull Case (Buyers Stay in Control)

  • Hold north of 7010 ± 5

  • Upside objectives:
    7025 → 7030 → 7035

Momentum remains constructive as long as acceptance holds above the pivot zone.


🔴 Bear Case (Rotation / Reset)

  • Hold south of 7010 ± 5

  • Downside objectives:
    6995 → 6985 → 6975

Failure to reclaim the pivot opens the door for a controlled reset.


📊 Key Reference Levels

  • PVA High Edge: 7016

  • PVA Low Edge: 7005

  • Prior POC: 7008


⚠️ Tactical Takeaway

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.


   ESH

Nasdaq (NQ)


 

Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

When the Magnificent 7 get cranking, they don’t jog —
they Usain Bolt.

9.58 seconds. Blink and you miss it.

That’s exactly how META, MSFT, and TSLA ripped higher — with AAPL lining up in the blocks for Thursday. Once leadership hits full stride, the broader tape has no choice but to chase… preferably without pulling a hamstring.

The upside trajectory remains intact heading into the Fed meeting and a stacked slate of key tech earnings. Momentum is doing what momentum does best: accelerate faster than most expect and longer than skeptics can tolerate.

Fed preview remains the same:
This is a policy + earnings crossroads, not a victory lap.

Stay nimble.
Stay flexible.
Because when the MAG-7 start sprinting, the market doesn’t wait for excuses — it just times the finish.


🎯 Cycle Day 2 – Trading Focus

Key scenarios in play for today’s session:

🟢 Bull Case

Holding north of 26118 ±10 pts opens the door to upside continuation toward:
26175 → 26195 → 26225

🔴 Bear Case

Holding south of 26118 ±10 pts keeps downside pressure intact with targets at:
26090 → 26060 → 26040


Reference Levels

  • PVA High Edge: 26098

  • PVA Low Edge: 26049

  • Prior POC: 26086


⚠️ Tactical Takeaway

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.


NQH
Economic Calendar

https://us.econoday.com/
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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