S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Wild-Card Day
Theme of the Day:
Overnight Bear Case → Morning Tug-of-War → Order Flow Save → Range Respect
Overnight / Pre-Market
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The Bear Case unfolded as advertised, with ES probing into the 6940–6930 target zone overnight.
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Early buyers stepped in, producing a rebound back toward Prior Low (PL ~6957).
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Market opened with a clear question:
Can bulls reclaim control above 6965, or does rotation continue lower?
For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 1.8.26 link.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: “End-of-Week Decline?”
As the first full trading week of the new year draws to a close, the scorecard between bulls and bears remains remarkably balanced. Early weakness on (last Friday) was effectively countered by a week-long process of structure repair, leaving neither side with a decisive advantage.
Yesterday’s game plan played out precisely as scripted. The lower objective in the 6940–6930 zone was tagged, followed by a late-session response that carried price back to the 6975 upside target. Textbook rotation.
Now, attention shifts to Cycle Day 1, which often serves as a tone-setter. The question is simple:
Will today act as the tie-breaker that tilts the weekly balance, or merely extend the rotational stalemate?
For traders, direction remains secondary. What truly matters is rotation and rhythm. Higher prices are no more “good” than lower prices are “bad”—both are simply expressions of a healthy, two-way auction. As long as the market continues to rotate with structure and respect key references, opportunity remains abundant on both sides of the tape.
Stay patient. Stay rhythmic. Let the market reveal its hand.
🎯 Cycle Day 3 Focus
Scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
🟢 Bull Case
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Hold north of 6965 +- 5 pts targets 6975…6985…6995
🔴 Bear Case
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Hold south of 6965 +- 5 pts targets 6940…6935…6925
PVA High Edge = 6965 PVA Low Edge = 6955 Prior POC = 6961
⚠️ Tactical Takeaway
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
ESH

Nasdaq (NQ)

…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: A-B-C Decline — EZ as 1-2-3
Cue the moonwalk. 🕺
@NQ backed it up in classic A-B-C fashion (yes, that Michael Jackson), pressing pause after a textbook Elliott Wave five-wave advance. Nothing broken — just the market doing what markets do best: reprice inventory, shake loose weak hands, and keep traders guessing.
Cycle Day 1 structure keeps the tape honest, with scope for additional downside exploration into the 25569 – 25525 zone. Lose footing below the prior CD1 low (25527.50) and the trap door creaks open, exposing unfinished business down near 25409.25. No drama — just math and memory.
The bull case? Simple, clean, and unapologetic. Reclaim 25760 – 25800 with authority, hold it, and watch for a pressure cooker squeeze through 25850. That’s where shorts start reconsidering life choices.
So what is it as we close out the week — Jammer/Slammer or Fizzle ’n Drizzle?
Stay tuned. Volatility loves a Friday cameo, and Nasdaq-Land never disappoints.
Stick around till the end…
Because in this market, the plot twist is always one candle away. 📉📈
🎯 Cycle Day 3 Focus
Scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
🟢 Bull Case
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Hold north of 25685 +- 10 pts targets 25760…25800…25850
🔴 Bear Case
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Hold south of 25685 +- 10 pts targets 25569…25527…25493
PVA High Edge = 25693 PVA Low Edge = 25627 Prior POC = 25639
⚠️ Tactical Takeaway
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
NQH

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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