In Europe, at midday, London +0.17%. Paris +0.30%. Frankfurt +0.71%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.78%. S&P +0.62%. Nasdaq +0.79%. Crude +0.29% to $73.46. Gold -0.57% to $1,189.40. Bitcoin +0.28% to $6,617.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +3.7bps to 3.093%.
8:30 Chicago Fed National Activity Index
S&P 500
Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 2905.00. Average Range for CD1 is 23.50 handles. Odds of decline > 10 handles = 72% Odds of decline > 20 = 42%
CD1 Range High = 2946.00 CD1 Range Low = 2914.00 CD1 Range Avg = 23.50
Scenario 1: IF price clears and converts PH (2925.00), THEN upside expansion targets 2934.25 CD1 Penetration Level, followed by 2940.50 – 2946 STAT-X Zone.
Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts 2919 3D Central Pivot, THEN downside targets 2905 CD1 Average Decline.
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December (Z) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 2940.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2919.75; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2919.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2951.00; 10 Day Average True Range 18.00; VIX: 12.00
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 7590.50. Average Range for CD1 is 96.25 handles. Odds of decline > 20 handles = 73% Odds of decline > 25 = 64%
CD1 Range High = 7767.00 CD1 Range Low = 7623.50 CD1 Range Avg = 96.25
Scenario 1: IF price clears and converts PH (7677), THEN upside expansion targets 7696.00 – 7722.00 CD1 Penetration Zone, followed by 7730.25 – 7751.00 STAT-X Zone.
Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts 7654.00 Central Pivot, THEN downside targets 7630.25 – 7635.25 3D Central Pivot Zone. CD1 Average Decline measures 7509.00
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December (Z) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 7751.00; LOD ATR Range Projection: 7639.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 7637.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 7734.50; 10 Day Average True Range: 80.00; VIX: 12.00
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN