Trade Strategy 10.13.23

Markets (Top Stories)

Three big Wall Street banks are reporting Q3 earnings today, giving investors a window into how the sector is dealing with elevated interest rates and muted capital markets activity. JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) were the first to report, with both banks notching a quarterly earnings beat. Citigroup (C) is also slated to report its results today. Bank of America (BAC) and Goldman Sachs (GS) will post their earnings on Tuesday, and Morgan Stanley (MS) rounds out the lot on Wednesday. 

 

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Three-Day Cycle Objective (4420) having been fulfilled on Cycle Day 1 failed to expand the rally as “trapped longs” sparked a liquidation break, driving price down to CD2 Violation Levels before finding a responsive stabilizing bid. Prior range was 75 handles on 1.827M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Positive 3-Day Statistic will be satisfied as long as price trades above 4377.25 during RTH Session. Once complete, it is then a “wild-card” FRYDAY to end the week. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4370, initially targets 4390 – 4395 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4370, initially targets 4355 – 4350 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4429       PVA Low Edge = 4381         Prior POC = 4403

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December 2023 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4446; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4314; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4395; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4438; 10 Day Average True Range  68; VIX: 17

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Bulls failed to expand the rally as “trapped longs” sparked a liquidation break, driving price down to CD2 Violation Levels before finding a responsive stabilizing bid. Prior range was 252 handles on 738k contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Positive 3-Day Statistic will be satisfied as long as price trades above 15253 during RTH Session. Once complete, it is then a “wild-card” FRYDAY to end the week. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 15340, initially targets 15400 – 15425 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 15340, initially targets 15255 – 15245 zone.

PVA High Edge = 15468       PVA Low Edge = 15325     Prior POC = 15422

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December 2023 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 15598; LOD ATR Range Projection: 15046; 3 Day Central Pivot: 15325; 3 Day Cycle Target: 15534; 10 Day Average True Range: 285; VIX: 17

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

Comments are closed.