Trade Strategy 10.14.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: The Flip-Flop Frenzy

Morning Brief:
The session kicked off under the roar of a Nor’easter — 40 mph winds battering David’s HQ but not the PTG discipline. 

Early Rhythm & Setup:
Cycle Day 2 played textbook MATD Normal — dip longs into early rhythm patterns. Buyers wrestled control mid-morning, trying to erase Friday’s trauma (PTGDavid: “Forget what happened Fryday… all that matters is the here and now.”).

Range was 79 handles on 1.721M contracts exchanged. 

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 10.13.25 link.


Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Normal cycle rhythms have clearly been disrupted with the recent TTB induced sell-off and snap “half-back” recovery.

It may take a few to even several days for the markets to find acceptable balance. Volatility is expected to remain elevated, which should provide a fertile trading environment.

Initial levels to be mindful of moving forward are 6710 – 6650 with 6680 as the fulcrum with Anchored VWAP’s convergence.

FREE TRIAL 3 DAY CYCLE        YES or NO

Choose wisely!


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6680+-, initially targets 6710 – 6720 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6680+-, initially targets 6666 – 6655 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6701    PVA Low Edge = 6674         Prior POC = 6695

   ESZ

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Recovery rally sent prices soaring to 50% – 62% retracement of Fryday’s TTB induced sell-off finding balance for a normalized Cycle Day 2. Range was 423 handles on 649k contracts exchanged. 

 

Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Normal cycle rhythms have clearly been disrupted with the recent TTB induced sell-off and snap “half-back” recovery.

It may take a few to even several days for the markets to find acceptable balance. Volatility is expected to remain elevated, which should provide a fertile trading environment.

Initial levels to be mindful of moving forward are 24753 – 24845 with 24900


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 24900+-, initially targets 25125 – 25210 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 24900+-, initially targets 24845 –  24755 zone.

PVA High Edge = 24932     PVA Low Edge = 24802         Prior POC = 24902

NQZ 

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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