Trade Strategy 10.21.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: “The Money Box March”

The week opened with a bullish Cycle Day 1 grind — textbook PTG playbook execution. Overnight weakness? Already neutralized by the opening bell, as buyers reclaimed the LIS 6690 ±5 zone with surgical precision. Once tagged, that level flipped from discount to launchpad and the rally ignition began.

Range was 89 handles on 1.143M contracts exchanged

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 10.20.25 link.


Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

Transition into Cycle Day 2: Normally for CD2 we are anticipating some consolidation MATD rhythms to begin the session. 

Yesterday’s bullish open gap / trend up fulfilled the 6772.58 3 Day Cycle Target…Yes Virginia…All on day one. Now that’s the power of the cycle.

The market has effectively recovered and repaired the Trump Tariff Bomb (TTB) related to China on that Fryday which caught many traders “off-sides” stuck long. Not to be undone, that decline also trapped late-comer shorts, which struggled all of last week. Today was simple the proverbial “nail in the coffin” for any outstanding shorts. Here is a hint that may help: When you have recognized a position that is not working, simply GTFO


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6765+-, initially targets 6780 – 6785 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6765+-, initially targets 6750 – 6745 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6782    PVA Low Edge = 6753         Prior POC = 6776

   ESZ

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: Mirroring @ES, the @NQ also gapped up and trended all day fulfilling the upper Money Box Level (25302.50) as well as the 3 Day Cycle Target (25337.64) as post OPEX buying lit the “short’s fuse” in a classic squeeze play. 

***NOTE: D-Level Money Box Indicator now is equipped with “historical” zones. Contact PTGDavid for further information.

Range for this session was 398 handles on 429k contracts exchanged.

 

Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

Transition into Cycle Day 2: Normally for CD2 we are anticipating some consolidation MATD rhythms to begin the session. 

Expect elevated volatility (i.e. wide swings) until the markets absorb the recent information inflow and decides both the short-term and longer-term implications. So we’ll stay laser focused on risk-management.

Be on Alert for more Trump Tape Bombs!


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25315+-, initially targets 25350 – 25400 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25315+-, initially targets 25290 – 25270 zone.

PVA High Edge = 25350     PVA Low Edge = 25210         Prior POC = 25315

NQZ

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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