Trade Strategy 10.30.25 | Polaris Trading Group for Stocks and Futures Traders

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Theme: FED Day Fiasco

Pre-Market Briefing (07:50 ET):
The overnight tape paced quietly ahead of the FOMC rate decision, holding within a tight 15-handle box as traders bunkered down for Powell’s next move. Futures opened Europe near 6955, oscillating around LIS 6942, with algos sniffing liquidity but no conviction.

Fed Decision (14:00 ET):
The Federal Reserve delivered a 25bps rate cut, as largely priced-in, but Powell’s statement hinted at a pause within a cut cycle — enough to spark a battlefield eruption on the S&P front lines.

Bulls charged from 6925 tactical defense zone, pushing through 6960 resistance, momentarily breaching 6980, before precision sell-programs strafed the highs.
Bears counterattacked into Powell’s presser, reclaiming 6940 as price rotated back to neutrality — textbook FOMC volatility theater.

Narrative Summary:
FOMC Day turned into a two-phase war zone — initial euphoria under rate-cut headlines, then Powell’s “data-dependent” remarks detonating bear artillery. Tactical traders who stuck to PTG structure caught both rotations cleanly. By the bell, ES settled near 6950, smoke clearing across the battlefield as both factions regrouped.

PTG Takeaway:
Capital was preserved, tactical edges maintained, and discipline reigned supreme — another day where emotional traders became collateral damage.

Range was 64 handles on 1.202M contracts traded.

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 10.24.25 link.

…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Three-Day Cycle Target 6948 has been fulfilled, so with price above the CD1 Low (6901.50) the cycle statistic appears safely secured (91.72%).

Markets remain in “bullish-mode” post FOMC , so we’ll mark this session as a “wild-card” for direction. There continues to be a period for the market to settle in on accepted fair-value balance, so some back and fill action over the next several sessions would be warranted rhythms.

Key Gap Zone between 6865 – 6880 remains important support on any back test / trap / reclaim.

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6915+-, initially targets 6930 – 6940 zone.

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6915+-, initially targets 6900 – 6890 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6948 PVA Low Edge = 6917 Prior POC = 6939

ESZ

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Fed Day wide swings…New ATH…Tech Earnings were the main themes for the NAZ this session. The nimblest of traders caught the swings…Others just simply “got caught.” Upside D Level Money Box (DLMB) target zone was fulfilled. Range was 330 handles on 548k contracts exchanged.

…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Three-Day Cycle Target 26385 has been fulfilled, so with price above the CD1 Low (25943) the cycle statistic appears safely secured (91.72%).

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 26150+-, initially targets 26295 – 26350 zone.

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 26150+-, initially targets 26040 – 26000 zone.

PVA High Edge = 26296 PVA Low Edge = 26212 Prior POC = 26272

NQZ

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

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