S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: ⚔️ Scenario Execution – “The Fryday Short Dqueeze”
This session was a stunning example of the power of the 3 Day Cycle levels and recovery of the lost CD1 Low.
Prior Session Recap:
Bears strutted into the overnight session with swagger, pressing their luck below the 6760 Line in the Sand and tagging the D-Level at 6718.75 with surgical precision. That triggered the first BUY RESPONSE of the day—but the tug-of-war was just beginning.
The Cycle Day 1 Average Decline Projection Zone (6705–6700) soon gave way to a full-blown Wholesale Liquidation Sale. As PTGDavid aptly described it:
“Everything MUST GO! Baby, Bathwater… and Tub!”
Price ultimately kissed the Cycle Day 3 Statistical Xtreme (6666.50)—and that’s where the voodoo began.
Tactical Turn:
Like magic, once 6666.50 was reclaimed, the bulls flipped the switch.
Momentum shifted from despair to delight as power-hour buyers engineered a textbook short squeeze—a late-day “Fryday Dqueeze Special” straight from the PTG playbook.
The mission was clear:
“Price can still reclaim the CD1 Low 6748.50… that’s the goal.”
Target achieved. Mission accomplished.
Cycle Day 1 RECLAIMED → 91.82% Positive 3-Day Cycle Intact.
Cheeky Commentary:
“Give a little to the bears, let them feel clever… and then take it all back (plus tip) once the selling stops.”
NO TAX ON TIPS!
Range was 116 handles on 20.39M contracts exchanged
For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 11.7.25 link.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1:
A new cycle kicks off with the average decline projection (6705) already exceeded during last session’s deep sell-down. To add a twist, the upside cycle target (6740) was also tagged during that late-day short squeeze that capped off the week — a neat little round trip to reset the board.
Given that both sides of the statistical spectrum have been explored, today’s trade rhythm may echo more of a Cycle Day 2 MATD vibe. Translation: we’ll be patient, let the market show its hand, and avoid cannonballing in without confirmation.
NOTE: GLOBEX opening (6 pm et) has price vaulting higher to 6785 – 6795 zone. Whether or not this is a long continuation opportunity or a fade has yet to be determined…Sunday overnight traders have the script…How they want to write it for the Monday RTH opening is in their hands.
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Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6765+-, initially targets 6785 – 6795 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6765+-, initially targets 6745 – 6740 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6731 PVA Low Edge = 6667 Prior POC = 6697
ESZ
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: A near carbon copy script played out for the @NQ during the Cycle Day 3 session — well, almost. Once again, sellers strutted into the morning session brimming with confidence, methodically executing their long-liquidation plan with surgical precision.
But not so fast… The afternoon brought a plot twist as opportunistic buyers stepped in, scooping up quality tech names at clearance-level prices. What followed was your classic end-of-week short squeeze special, propelling price higher — though just shy of reclaiming the 25282 CD1 Low.
Range for this session was 581 handles on 659k contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day1
Transition into Cycle Day 1:
A new cycle kicks off with both the average decline projection (25035) and the upside cycle target (25132) already fulfilled during last week’s whipsaw finish. That late-session squeeze may have reset sentiment just enough to keep both sides guessing as we open the new week.
With those key markers tagged, today’s rhythm leans more in line with a Cycle Day 2 MATD — meaning patience will be the prime virtue early on. Let the market tip its hand before diving headfirst into fresh positioning.
Test the waters… don’t cannonball.
TOf course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25160+-, initially targets 25295 – 25355 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25160+-, initially targets 25032 – 24940 zone.
PVA High Edge = 25132 PVA Low Edge = 24807 Prior POC = 25087
NQZ
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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