Trade Strategy 11.14.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: “The Blitzkrieg Assault”

🎯 Session Synopsis:

Cycle Day 1 unfolded like a page out of Shock and Awe for Dummies.
The opening range shorts hit precision targets across ESNQ, and CL, completing a Trifecta of OPR winners before lunch. What started as a “normal” CD1 decline swiftly evolved into a Blitzkrieg Assault, as support after support fell like dominoes.

The average decline projection (6833.66) was fulfilled early — but sellers weren’t done. The onslaught extended deep into the 6803 → 6788 → 6772 zone, ultimately tagging TargetMaster’s extreme at 6747.75.
Meanwhile, margin departments across brokerages earned their overtime stripes.

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 11.13.25 link.


Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

Transition into Cycle Day 2: With CD1’s carnage logged and volatility fully front-loaded, we now rotate into Cycle Day 2 (CD2) — traditionally the market’s “let’s clean up this mess” balancing session. Expect a more measured, two-way auction as both sides regroup, tape over bruises, and reassess who actually wants these prices.

Bulls will need to show some spine by reclaiming 6780+ to establish early initiative. Failure to do so leaves their defensive line exposed, particularly on any test of the 6750 Value Low — a level they cannot afford to casually donate to Bear morale.

Bears, meanwhile, still carry the edge so long as price operates below 6790–6800. This zone remains their high-ground vantage point, and they’ll be quick to swat away any premature reversal celebration the Bulls attempt to sneak in before lunch.

Balance day? Yes.
Boring? Absolutely not.
Opportunity? Always.

Discipline mode: Capital Preservation.


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6780+-, initially targets 6800 – 6810 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6780+-, initially targets 6760 – 6750 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6808    PVA Low Edge = 6748         Prior POC = 6760

   ESZ

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: The NAZ wasted zero time reminding everyone it still had a score to settle. From the Opening Range launchpad, sellers hit the thrusters and delivered a textbook TRIFECTA Open Range Breakout performance right alongside the ES and CL.

Once the downside targets lit up, it was open season. Every so-called “support level” the bulls put forward toppled like a shaky domino chain — each collapse fueling even more momentum to the downside. Bears didn’t just control the tape; they owned the entire battlefield, and the bulls couldn’t even muster a counterpunch.

Discipline mode: Capital Preservation.


 

Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

Transition into Cycle Day 2: This cycle day typically ushers in those familiar MATD consolidation rhythms, the market’s way of smoothing out the excessive enthusiasm (or panic) left behind after yesterday’s momentum smack-down. Frankly, it was such a one-sided clinic that even the WWE booking team would’ve asked for a rewrite.

Bulls enter today with serious cleanup duty. And with it being Friday, the closing tone of this session sets the trajectory for the week ahead — no pressure, right?

To regain control, the Bulls must reclaim 25,255 at minimum. Clear that, and a proper squeeze could ignite toward 25,350–25,390.

But Bears still own the momentum edge and are prowling for a clean break of the 25,000 line to force long participation into full-on capitulation.

The battlefield is drawn. It’s the end-of-week showdown.
And remember — this is CAPITAL PRESERVATION FRYDAY. Don’t get out over your skis.


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25100+-, initially targets 25255 – 25275 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25100+-, initially targets 25000 – 22940 zone.

PVA High Edge = 25365     PVA Low Edge = 25000         Prior POC = 25215

NQZ

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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