Trade Strategy 11.20.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2:“A Day of Jam-Jobs, Starling Patterns, and Nvidia-Induced Heart Palpitations” 

The session opened with textbook DTS precision: both upper and lower target zones fulfilled in ES and NQ before most traders had time to finish their coffee. The 6640 pivot behaved like a well-trained bouncer — allowing entry only for those prepared to respect the rules.

Bulls opened the day with a massive squeeze that looked bullish for all of 12 minutes before revealing itself to be what it truly was:
👉 A beautifully orchestrated jam-job, not a legitimate accumulation.
As price pulled back from the highs, buyers evaporated like responsible trading habits on FOMC minutes day.

Read more @ link below…


Range was 95 handles on 1.974M contracts traded.

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 11.19.25 link.


Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: We march into CD3 with the Three-Day Cycle Stat (91.98%) looming overhead like a stern hall monitor armed with a clipboard and zero sense of humor. The rule was simple: stay above the CD1 Low at 6594 during RTH or get written up.
Bulls complied. Rule unbroken. Hall monitor satisfied.

The market’s overnight mood booster? Nvidia’s earnings, which didn’t just beat expectations—they strolled past them like they owned the place. The post-earnings after-hours surge funneled directly into a spirited overnight bid, giving bulls exactly the tailwind they needed heading into today’s session.

The 3-Day Cycle Target (6677.21)? Tagged without breaking a sweat.
The Key Reversal Day objective outlined in the DTS Briefing? Also executed to spec.
Four straight days of selling? Neutralized.
Mission. Fully. Accomplished.

From here, the game plan is simple: bulls must defend any back test of recently reclaimed terrain to maintain initiative. Hold the line, keep the ball, and don’t give the bears a single inch.

Upside potential opens into 6740–6745, with a stretched CD3 projection pushing all the way into 6774.
Momentum is firmly in bull hands, and unlike the last four sessions, they have no intention of giving the ball back.

As for Da Bears?
They had their four-day joyride in the sun.
Today, they can enjoy the shade.


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6695+-, initially targets 6740 – 6745 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6695+-, initially targets 6670 – 6665 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6671    PVA Low Edge = 6638         Prior POC = 6650

   ESZ

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 and the NQ game plan couldn’t have been more textbook if it came laminated.

The objective?
Step 1: Jam the shorts on the opening drive. ✔️ Consider them thoroughly sautéed.
Step 2: Once the panic-covering finished, reverse course and slam price right back into the opening range to reload at friendlier wholesale levels. ✔️
Step 3: Lift off into the closing bell, carrying price higher like a victory parade ahead of Nvidia’s earnings — which, of course, detonated expectations and sent after-hours/overnight trade ripping even further north. ✔️✔️

Mission Accomplished. All fronts cleared. All objectives met.

Range was 543 handles on 761k contracts exchanged. 


 

Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: – The Three-Day Cycle Statistic (91.98%) remains alive and kicking as price stays well above the CD1 Low at 24,376.25 during RTH.
Statistic satisfied. Cycle integrity preserved.

Following Nvidia’s blowout earnings, the bulls are running a full-court press, maintaining ball control with four straight sessions of BTFD confidence. At this point, it’s their game to lose — and they’re showing zero inclination to let go of the momentum.

It’s officially “Gun n’ Run” mode.

Upside CD3 target zone:

  • 25,141 → 25,227

  • Stretching up toward 25,367.50

But don’t count the bears out — they’ll take yet another stab at shaking the bullish conviction by forcing a break below the Prior High at 24,988. If they can crack that, the bulls at least have to look over their shoulders.

Lines have been drawn.
If momentum keeps leaning one direction, this session could turn into a one-way, bloody-nosed skirmish where only one side walks off the field smiling.


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 24988+-, initially targets 25140– 25195 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 24988+-, initially targets 24841 –  24813 zone.

PVA High Edge = 24780     PVA Low Edge = 24575         Prior POC = 24670

NQZ 

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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