S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Bears in Command
The morning opened with a clean Continuation Long trigger (ES 6825–6829) that teased momentum before fading faster than Manny’s patience for another “chart check” on the morning walk. Manny’s early breakout long managed to wring a modest +5s and +10s, but even he admitted his fill was “terrible”—and the tape didn’t forgive.
By mid-morning, RSPR logic kept traders out of back-to-back losing A10s, a small mercy as sellers methodically pressed every support shelf lower.
The sandbox edges (6805–6845) became a bear playground, and by 11:00–12:15 the session’s low-time window was fully weaponized.
Range was 110 handles on 1.771M contracts traded.
For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 11.6.25 link.
…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3
Transition into Cycle Day 3: The Three-Day Cycle Statistic (91.82%) remains valid as long as bulls can defend the Cycle Day 1 Low (6748.50) during today’s RTH session.
So far, the bears have had their fun this week—pressing a bit of long-liquidation and shaking a few weak hands loose. But make no mistake, the bulls haven’t capitulated. This still smells like your classic “garden-variety” dip, where patient buyers scoop up premium names at clearance prices. Give a little to the bears, let them feel clever… and then take it all back (plus tip) once the selling stops.
It’s all just another round of Market Cat & Mouse, and today’s the day where the disciplined survive.
Because remember—it’s FRYday, which means one thing:
🧘♂️ CAPITAL PRESERVATION DAY. 🧘♀️
Stay focused around the battle zone at 6760 — whoever holds that ground writes the end-of-week narrative.
Key Support: 6730
Resistance: 6790
Control the middle… control the story.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6760+-, initially targets 6785 – 6790 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6760+-, initially targets 6735 – 6730 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6780 PVA Low Edge = 6738 Prior POC = 6760
ESZ
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: The script played out in near-perfect sync for the NQ and ES — Opening Range Strategy downside breaks held firm, unleashing a wave of controlled systematic liquidation through the high-beta tech complex. The so-called MAGS 7 earned a new moniker — “DRAGGED 7” — as not one could summon enough bid power to reverse the broad-based pressure. Price action closed near the Cycle Day 1 Low (25828), setting the stage for Cycle Day 3. To keep the Positive 3-Day Cycle Statistic intact, bulls must reclaim and hold above that fulcrum during today’s RTH session.
Range was 624 handles on 746k contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3
Transition into Cycle Day 3: – The Three-Day Cycle Statistic (91.82%) remains alive — but only if bulls can defend turf above the Cycle Day 1 Low (25828) during today’s RTH session. Momentum remains fragile after back-to-back liquidation waves, yet the bears haven’t sealed the deal.
This could evolve into one of those “garden-variety” corrective dips that savvy buyers use to quietly reload quality positions at a discount. If the bulls can reassert control early and convert the Opening Range High, we could see a reflexive pop back toward the 25495 – 25585 resistance pocket. Failure to defend the low, however, risks inviting another round of mechanical selling that could extend toward 25119–25053 Money Box.
For now, keep an eye on structure, rhythm, and sentiment — this is where tactical precision separates the pros from the tourists.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25282+-, initially targets 25495 – 25585 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25282+-, initially targets 25119 – 25053 zone.
PVA High Edge = 25493 PVA Low Edge = 25223 Prior POC = 26338
NQZ
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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