S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: The market wrapped up the bull-blessed holiday week with the textbook “Tryptophan Turkey Rally” — that slow, satisfied glide higher you get when everyone’s stuffed full of gravy and good intentions.
With the early close acting as the official dinner bell, traders happily punched out and drifted into a well-earned long holiday stretch, carrying a secured Positive 3-Day Cycle like leftover pie for the road.
The session delivered a tidy 35-handle range on 319k contracts, just enough activity to keep the algos awake before the entire market collectively slipped into a mashed-potato-induced serenity.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: Mutual Fund Monday
The final month of 2025 opens its curtains, and—surprise to no one—the bulls are already out front, polishing their antlers and eyeing a year-end new-high finale.
Sure, the path won’t be a freshly paved express lane. Expect switchbacks, potholes, and the occasional “Wait… what just happened?” detour. But if this year has taught us anything, it’s that uncertainty has only forged a sturdier bullish backbone.
And with today being both Monday and the First of the Month, we get the well-known performance of Mutual Fund Monday—that systematic influx of fresh capital as investor contributions get put to work. No guarantee of a green close, but historically a steady undercurrent of institutional buy-flows sets the tone.
Cycle-structure wise, CD1 keeps things grounded: a normal decline is fair game, with potential pullbacks toward 6825 → 6808 as the market stretches out the post-holiday legs.
Stay focused, stay sharp, and bring your absolute A-Game—the final act of 2025 is officially underway, and every handle counts.
***Bonus: ShadowTrader’s Weekend Video: “Why This Market Rallies Into Year End”
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6850+-, initially targets 6865 – 6870 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6850+-, initially targets 6825 – 6820 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6845 PVA Low Edge = 6860 Prior POC = 6850
ESZ
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: The Naz and the Mags-7 marched back into action like they never left the battlefield, closing out the holiday-thinned week right on the highs. The Positive 3-Day Cycle locked itself in with authority, snapping the recent downtrend and giving the bulls a much-needed psychological protein shake.
After weeks of absorbing an endless drip-feed of downticks, the bulls finally flipped the script—turning every dip into a snack and every uptick into a flex. A fresh rally during a holiday week?
That’s the kind of seasonal cheer that inspires year-end storylines.
There’s nothing like a little month-end “window-dressing” to spruce-up the holiday season.
Session statistics kept the energy elevated with 198 handles of range traded on 149k contracts exchanged, confirming:
the bulls didn’t just show up… they showed out.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: “Mutual Fund Monday Reloads the Clip”
Today sets up beautifully for a textbook Cycle Day 1 pullback — the kind of orderly decline that makes Mutual Funds grin like they just spotted a half-priced Black Friday special.
A normal CD1 play typically invites a meaningful dip, with the average decline pointing toward the 25360–25295 zone. And honestly? The deeper the slide, the better. Fresh month, fresh inflows, and funds love nothing more than loading up inventory at discounted levels.
Buy ’em cheap, stack ’em deep — that’s the Mutual Fund motto.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25430+-, initially targets 25500 – 25525 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25430+-, initially targets 25335 – 25295 zone.
PVA High Edge = 25432 PVA Low Edge = 25366 Prior POC = 25426
NQZ
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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