S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: A full-on Range Runner Rhythm that tested the metal of both the bulls and the bears. ES first delivered a complete give-back of the entire JPOW rally — the kind of flush that shakes loose weak hands, cleans the inventory shelves, and convinces late chasers they’ve made terrible life decisions.
Then, with perfect theatrical timing, buyers reloaded and ripped the short a fresh new behind right into the closing bell, finishing on the highs of the day. Chef’s kiss.
Details Matter…
Overnight Session – The Ninja Reversal
While the rest of the world slept like responsible adults, ES went full shinobi.
A full-range Fed Day exorcism — poof, gone — drilling straight into the D-Level at 6820.25, a textbook BTFD pocket that doesn’t shout… it whispers profits into your ear.
Open Range Plays – Across the Board Precision
The opening rotations were a masterclass in symmetry. Buyers and sellers each took their swing, but every test, tap, and retest lined up like someone had turned on chart-snapping in reality.
Responsive buyers showed their cards early: defend value, push imbalance, exploit trapped shorts. Efficient, professional, clinical.
Mid-Session – Insanity or Opportunity?
This is where the tourists got disoriented and the pros got paid.
Volatility compressed → expanded → compressed again, like the market was conducting its own stress test.
To the untrained eye? Chaos.
To those playing Cycle Structure? A gift basket of high-odds rotations.
Bull Flag Break – “Noon Balloon” Liftoff
Just past midday, buyers punched out the top of a clean bull flag and launched the Noon Balloon, lifting ES into a controlled trend extension.
Shorts who overstayed their welcome met their spiritual guides.
Bulls, meanwhile, coasted on autopilot toward the afternoon targets.
Highs of the Day – Strong Finish – Curtain Drop
The close was pure dominance: controlled, orderly, and absolutely unforgiving to anyone fighting the flow.
Highs of the session taken out.
Trend structure intact.
Curtains closed with authority.
3-Day Cycle Statistic: 92.28% Fulfilled
Once again, the PTG 3-Day Cycle delivered as advertised:
✔ Target Fulfilled
✔ Structure respected
✔ Probabilistic edge executed
For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 12.11.25 link.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: Capital Preservation FRYday Briefing
Fresh swing highs? ✔️
New cycle dynamics? ✔️
A post-Fed market still trying to remember where it left its sanity? ✔️✔️
Welcome to Cycle Day 1, where the market politely pretends the Fed didn’t just blast liquidity fairy dust across the screens — and now everyone’s trying to figure out whether to ride the momentum or grab the nearest parachute.
Market Posture – The Setup
Price closed right on the highs yesterday, which puts momentum in the driver’s seat before the classic Cycle Day 1 back-and-fill decline tries to rain on the parade.
But make no mistake — this ride has been bumpier than Santa’s sleigh with a flat runner.
Key Downside Zones (aka Bear Ambush Points)
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6890–6885: First logical back-test. Expect dip-chasing elves here.
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6865: Structural ledge.
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6860: Value edge retest.
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6840: Projected range low — the “if-it-gets-here, someone lost control” level.
Upside Extensions (aka Bull Victory Parade Route)
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6943
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6961
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6971
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6984–6994 (deep upper edge — premium real estate for late FOMO recruits)
The Prime Directive
It’s Capital Preservation FRYday — statistically the market’s favorite day to punish overconfidence.
So keep stops tight, expectations realistic, and risk light.
Trade like the market’s waiting to take your lunch money… because today, it just might.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6910+-, initially targets 6930 – 6940 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6910+-, initially targets 6890 – 6885 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6902 PVA Low Edge = 6858 Prior POC = 6870
ESZ
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Range-Runner Wild Ryde Clyde Edition
The market delivered exactly what CD3 is famous for: unstructured chaos disguised as opportunity. Traders strapped in for a Wild-Card session — but what they got was a full-blown Range-Runner Wild Ryde Clyde.
The session opened with a Pile-Driver sell sequence, plunging straight into the lower D-Level Money Box Zone, where the opportunistic buyers emerged from the shadows and BTFD with conviction. Their counterstrike drove price back toward mid-range equilibrium, restoring temporary order… until the market decided that was far too peaceful.
From there, the script flipped again. A successful retest of the morning lows triggered a secondary flush — a textbook liquidity check — before buyers mounted their second offensive. That push carried steadily through the afternoon session, ultimately producing a drive higher into the closing bell, finishing just shy of the high of the day.
If you want to learn how these levels are spotted before the crowd panics…
👉 Join the PTG Army.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: “Broker Than Ever” Edition
After a full week of shuffling, hustling, post-Fed flexing, and enough fake-outs to qualify as emotional warfare, the market has decided to do what it does best on a Friday:
return to the exact middle of the weekly range and make everybody feel broker while the CME gets richer.
Welcome to Cycle Day 1 — where fresh auction rotations begin, expectations reset, and hope springs eternal… until the first liquidity sweep.
Key CD1 Downside Levels (Buyers’ Ambush Zones)
These are the levels where Bulls are likely sharpening their tiny tactical knives:
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25560 – First test of buyer intent.
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25480 – The “don’t lose this or we’re walking home” level.
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25431 – Prior structural hinge; likely reactive.
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25383 – The CD1 line-in-the-sand for buyers.
Key CD1 Upside Levels (Bear Pain Points)
If Bulls get traction, here are the shelves where Bears start sweating:
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25750 – Initial resistance poke.
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25800 – First real stress test for short inventory.
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25860 – Momentum confirmation level.
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25912 – Full CD1 upside extension.
CD1 Bias Snapshot
Price is stuck mid-range, sentiment is split, and Cycle Day 1 is the natural habitat for early session discovery followed by directional expansion.
Translation:
Expect fakes, shakes, and a real move hiding behind the noise.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25665+-, initially targets 25725 – 25750 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25665+-, initially targets 25585 – 25555 zone.
PVA High Edge = 25650 PVA Low Edge = 25455 Prior POC = 25585
NQZ
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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