S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Price reversal of early strength set the session’s rhythm with seller’s in-control which lead to establishing lower value between 6112 – 6128 zone (ESH25) Range for this session was 44 handles on 1.158M contracts exchanged.
For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 12.13.24
***NOTE: Contract Rollover to March (H) 2025 from December (Z) 2024 Spread = 70.25 points
…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3
Transition into Cycle Day 3: Price is above CD1 Low so a positive 3-day cycle statistic (92.68%) will remain secure.
Odds of Rally > 10 = 88%…> 20 = 68% Average Range CD3 = 35.53
Contract rollover volumes will be spread with a 70.25 point differential. For day traders, rollover is meaningless; Although it is good practice to be mindful of the split volumes.
Key for this week’s trading will be the slew of economic reports: Retail Sales; FOMC; Initial Jobless Claims; GDP; PCE in addition to Rollover and OPEX to name a few.
What does this mean for us as intra-day traders? ABSOLUTELY NOTHING! Again just being mindful and always focusing on your game plan.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6130, initially targets 6140 – 6145 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6130, initially targets 6120 – 6115 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6128 PVA Low Edge = 6112 Prior POC = 6126
ES (Profile)
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Price reversal of early strength set the session’s rhythm with seller’s in-control which lead to establishing lower value between 21983 – 22120 zone (NQH25) Range for this session was 241 handles on 562k contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
Transition into Cycle Day 3: Price is above CD1 Low so a positive 3-day cycle statistic (92.68%) will remain secure.
Odds of Rally > 10 = 96%…> 20 = 85% Average Range CD3 = 124.00
For day traders, rollover is meaningless; Although it is good practice to be mindful of the split volumes.
Key for this week’s trading will be the slew of economic reports: Retail Sales; FOMC; Initial Jobless Claims; GDP; PCE in addition to Rollover and OPEX to name a few.
What does this mean for us as intra-day traders? ABSOLUTELY NOTHING! Again just being mindful and always focusing on your game plan.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 22070, initially targets 22130 – 22175 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 22070, initially targets 21970 – 21925 zone.
PVA High Edge = 22120 PVA Low Edge = 21983 Prior POC = 22059
NQ (Profile)
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN