S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: Mutual Fun Monday & the Great Market Mood Swing
Welcome back, my friends… to the show that absolutely never ends. And on this fine first-of-the-month Monday, the machines woke up early, the bulls stretched their hamstrings, and the fresh capital inflows strutted in like they owned the place.
Mutual Fun Monday worked its typical magic: not a guarantee of green, but an undeniable tailwind of institutional “first-of-the-month” cash sloshing around the system. Think of it as the market’s version of a paycheck hitting the bank — suddenly everyone wants to buy something.
Morning Session — CD1 Does CD1 Things
Right on cue, Cycle Day 1 delivered the expected decline, tagging the 6808.28 Violation Target with surgical precision. Buyers responded like they’d been waiting all weekend to prove a point.
Momentum stayed choppy, distribution stayed ugly, and Manny reminded us (again) why Mondays are for caution and caffeine. Big wicks, messy rotations, and overnight inventory that refused to behave — all classic CD1 signatures.
For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 12.1.25 link.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
Transition into Cycle Day 2: “Reclaim or Be Reclaimed”
Price carved out the Cycle Day 1 Low at 6802 with the kind of ultra-precision tap that would make a neurosurgeon jealous—right off the 6808 violation level projected in yesterday’s DTS Briefing (12.1.25). Textbook. Clean. Chef’s kiss.
Now we rotate into Cycle Day 2, where the expected two-way draw is likely to feel more like spillover turbulence from yesterday’s rhythm. This is the day where both sides shuffle for position and attempt to gas-light each other into submission.
For the Bulls:
Time to suit up and reclaim the 6855–6865 zone. That’s the ignition band needed to reassert upside momentum and remind the Bears who’s been running the table this month.
For the Bears:
Summon the coven, light your candles, and conjure up a little magic. A clean flush below 6800 is your spellbook entry for triggering long liquidation and rattling the bulls’ antlers.
Bottom line:
December 2025 is a chess match with caffeine. PTG expects shuffling, traps, and tactical misdirection. Play only your A-Game Structures — this month doesn’t reward the lazy or the late.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6830+-, initially targets 6855 – 6865 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6830+-, initially targets 6815 – 6805 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6838 PVA Low Edge = 6813 Prior POC = 6828
ESZ
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: CD1 delivered a textbook-clean “normal” decline, carving out the session low in the overnight at 25193.25 before doubling down with a gorgeous RTH confirmation right inside the Money Box Zone.
From the opening bell, initiative buyers came in like they had holiday coupons to burn, lifting price sharply before tagging the 25267 midpoint with surgeon-level precision. That’s where $BIG Dog Money stepped in, vacuuming up the weak-hand supply and putting every casual short-seller through a forced cardio session.
Price’s ambitious probe toward the Turkey High (24495) was quickly denied — giblets and all — sending price back into its lane to finish the day snugly at session VWAP / Midpoint.
A tidy session. A spicy rhythm. And a reminder that even on CD1, the market still cooks with gas.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
Transition into Cycle Day 2: The Tactical Breathing Phase
Cycle Day 2 typically shows up with those classic MATD consolidation rhythms — the market’s version of a group yoga class where everyone swears they’re totally relaxed while secretly side-eyeing the clock, waiting for the instructor to say “flow to the next position.”
Under the surface?
Nobody’s actually centered. The bulls are pretending they’re enlightened; the bears are pretending they’re patient. Spoiler: both are lying.
Today we’re hunting well-planned, measured trade opportunities, the kind you take only when the market exhales and reveals its true intention. The final-month dynamics are already shaping up to be a classic display of power — think less “quiet meditation retreat” and more “samurai monks sharpening blades behind a waterfall.”
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25400+-, initially targets 25500 – 25545 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25400+-, initially targets 25300 – 25255 zone.
PVA High Edge = 25415 PVA Low Edge = 25255 Prior POC = 25395
NQZ
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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