Trade Strategy 12.22.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Triple Witching | Gamma Unleashed | Capital Preservation Wins

If you came into FRYday expecting a sleepy OPEX grind… congratulations — you were violently wrong.

This was the largest OPEX on record, and the market wasted exactly zero time reminding participants that liquidity events do not negotiate.

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 12.19.25 link.


Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1


Transition into Cycle Day 1: Has The Year End Santa Rally Begun?
Ho ho ho… somebody turned the liquidity spigot back on.

As we step into the final trading days of 2025, post-OPEX momentum is behaving exactly how the seasonal script suggests — Santa has laced up his boots and the sleigh is warming up. Price is hovering near recent highs with no meaningful resistance overhead, setting the stage for a potential push through the highs and a fresh set of year-end bragging rights.

Is it guaranteed? Of course not — markets never hand out gifts without fine print.
But let’s be honest… bulls are clearly in a festive mood, and bears appear to have skipped town early rather than attempt a last-minute coup against upside momentum.

That said, don’t let the holiday lights blind you:

  • Discipline stays mandatory

  • Execution beats enthusiasm

  • Santa rallies reward patience… and punish overconfidence

📅 Holiday Schedule Check

  • Monday & Tuesday: Full sessions

  • Wednesday: Half-day

  • Christmas: Closed

  • Friday: Full session, but participation likely light and selective

Today marks Cycle Day 1, and with post-OPEX bullish energy spilling into the GLOBEX session, eyes stay sharp heading into RTH. Early strength is welcomed — but confirmation always matters.

Key Levels to Watch

  • 🧱 Major Support: 6820 (deep but decisive)

  • 🎯 Near-Term Marker: 6895

  • 🚀 Upside Targets:

    • 6910 — Cycle Day 1 Penetration Level

    • Upper Money Box alignment zone

If Santa delivers, this is where the sleigh leaves tracks.
If not — well — discipline keeps the coal out of your stocking.


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.


PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6895+-, initially targets 6905 – 6910 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6895+-, initially targets 6880 – 6870 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6891    PVA Low Edge = 6877         Prior POC = 6888


   ESH

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: OPEX Rally

Just when you thought OPEX was going to be a “chop-fest” market trough a curve-ball and rallied throughout the session, closing on highs of the day. Is this the prelude to the year-end Santa Claus Rally?

If you want to learn how PTG Plans each trading day , then join the PTG Army below.

👉 Join the PTG Army.


 

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: Final Rally of 2025

As the curtain falls on 2025, the tape is singing a familiar seasonal tune — the Santa Rally appears to be alive and humming. Bulls are clearly in a festive mood, while bears… well… let’s just say they’re staring at a lump of coal and rereading the calendar.

Despite plenty of attempts throughout the year, bears never found sustained traction. Momentum held, dips were absorbed, and upside persistence ruled the tape. Sure, there’s always next year — or the highly improbable asteroid headline — but for now, the path of least resistance remains higher.

This isn’t euphoria — it’s controlled year-end strength. Participation will thin, liquidity will get selective, and discipline remains the real edge. Enjoy the ride, but don’t forget who’s driving the sleigh.


🔍 Updated Levels of Interest — NQ

Upside Targets

  • 🎯 25650

  • 🎯 25706

  • 🎯 25750

  • 🎯 25762

Downside Levels

  • 🧱 25543

  • 🧱 25505

  • 🧱 25460


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25600+-, initially targets 25650 – 25706 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25600+-, initially targets 25506 – 25460 zone.

PVA High Edge = 25591     PVA Low Edge = 25525         Prior POC = 25575


NQH

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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