S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Wild-Card Wednesday — Where Price Action Brought the Drama, the Traps, and the “I Totally Saw That Coming” Traders
CD3 didn’t disappoint. Overnight the ES tiptoed along the 6840 Line in the Sand, flirted with the 6855–6865 initial CD3 target zone, then promptly decided that stalling is a valid trading strategy. That early hesitation set the tone for what the DTS Briefing accurately labeled a “Wild-Card Session.”
Translation for the uninitiated: expect misdirection, velocity swings, traps, trapdoors, and enough psychological warfare to qualify the Chicago desks for a NATO internship.
For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 12.3.25 link.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: The market may be “consolidating,” but let’s call it what it really is: a high-stakes holiday audition where Bulls and Bears fight for the role of Santa’s Favorite Market Force.
We’re boxed neatly between 6800 → 6875, a range so well-respected it might as well charge rent. Bears have certainly tried to redecorate the place with downside probes, but every attempt gets stiff-armed like they’re trying to sneak into the end-of-year CTA party without an invite. No dice.
Meanwhile, the pension funds and CTAs are quietly arranging their year-end portfolios with the same precision you see in those holiday train displays—every little piece locking into place with intention.
And as the curtain rises on December, the Bulls don’t stroll out…
They strut.
Chest out. Hooves clipped. Antlers buffed to a glossy, “please don’t fight me” shine. They’ve got one thing on their mind: a final push into new highs to close 2025 with a mic-drop.
But let’s not sugarcoat it like a holiday cookie.
The road ahead isn’t a frictionless glide:
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You’ll get a twisty switchback or two.
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A couple of “why is this dipping here?” potholes.
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And at least one moment where the entire market looks at the chart and says, “Wait—who touched that button?”
Cycle-structure wise, CD1 keeps the narrative grounded. A normal decline is completely on brand here, with retracement magnets sitting at:
6834.65 → 6802
Consider it the market’s way of stretching before sprinting into whatever year-end magic (or mischief) awaits.
Bottom line?
This isn’t the part of the movie where you relax.
This is the sequence where the protagonist tightens the gloves, nods at the camera, and steps into the arena.
Final month. Final act. Every handle matters. Bring the A-Game.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6865+-, initially targets 6875 – 6880 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6865+-, initially targets 6845 – 6840 zone.
PVA High Edge = 6871 PVA Low Edge = 6844 Prior POC = 6863
ESZ
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: The bulls didn’t just show up… they showed out — strutting through the session like they owned the joint, tossing 263 handles around as casually as car keys and soaking up 485k contracts like it was a pre-holiday liquidity buffet.
With Dip City anchored at 25420 and the ceiling gremlins still guarding 25685, we remain firmly in Cycle Day 3 bullish-upswing consolidation mode, and that pristine 92.17% Positive 3-Day Cycle? Still shining like it’s freshly waxed.
Momentum remains biased north; bears remain politely escorted to the waiting room; and unless someone sneezes on the risk curve, this structure continues to favor upside rotation attempts into the next session.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today sets up beautifully for a textbook CD1 pullback — the kind of orderly decline that makes Mutual Funds grin like they just stumbled onto a half-priced Black Friday clearance rack.
A classic CD1 play generally invites a respectable dip, with the statistical sweet spot pointing straight toward the 25545–25475 reload zone. And truth be told? The deeper the dip, the happier the funds.
Fresh month → fresh capital → fresh markdowns.
Mutual Funds live for this stuff.
Buy ’em cheap, stack ’em deep — that’s the motto.
Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.
PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 25645+-, initially targets 25720 – 25735 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 25645+-, initially targets 25565 – 25545 zone.
PVA High Edge = 25679 PVA Low Edge = 25544 Prior POC = 25645
NQZ
Economic Calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
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