Markets
In Asia, Japan +0.1%. Hong Kong flat. China +1.3%. India +0.6%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.2%. Paris +0.1%. Frankfurt -0.2%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow flat. S&P -0.1%. Nasdaq -0.5%. Crude -0.1% to $53.72. Gold +0.1% to $1326. Bitcoin +0.4% to $3422.
Ten-year Treasury Yield -1 bps to 2.62%
Source: Seeking Alpha
8:30Non-farm payrolls
9:45PMI Manufacturing Index
9:45Fed’s Kaplan Speech
10:00ISM Manufacturing Index
10:00Construction Spending
10:00Wholesale Trade
10:00Consumer Sentiment
1:00 PMBaker-Hughes Rig Count
10:40Fed’s Kashkari Speech on Sunday
***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link
S&P 500
Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 2689.00. Average Range for CD1 is 23.75 handles. Odds of decline > 10 handles = 72% Odds of decline > 20 = 42%
CD1 Range High = 2724.50 CD1 Range Low = 2688.00 CD1 Range Avg = 23.75
Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above 2700, THEN initial upside targets 2713 (CD3 High). Conversion of this level measures 2719 – 2724.50 STATX Zone.
Scenario 2: IF price holds offer below 2700, THEN initial downside targets 2694.50 – 2688 CD1 Range Low. Conversion of this zone measures 2681.75 – 2676 STATX Zone.
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2019 (H) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 2735.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2677.00; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2670.75; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2728.50; 10 Day Average True Range 34.50; VIX: 16.55
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 6888.00. Average Range for CD1 is 54.50 handles. Odds of decline > 20 handles = 73% Odds of decline > 25 = 64%
CD1 Range High = 6928.00 CD1 Range Low = 6856.75 CD1 Range Avg = 54.50
Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above 6880, THEN initial upside targets 6905 – 6918 zone. Conversion of this zone measures 6928 – 6943 zone.
Scenario 2: IF price holds offer below 6880, THEN initial downside targets 6856.75 – 6841.00 STATX Zone.
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2019 (H) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 7000.00; LOD ATR Range Projection: 6785.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 6786.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 6940.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 126.00; VIX: 16.55
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.
This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN