Trade Strategy 2.13.26

Posted on by February 12, 2026

S&P 500 (ES)

🔴 Cycle Day 1 – Liquidation With Intent

From the open, rhythm was clear:
Neutral bias → Failure → Acceleration lower.

The Open Range Long was a one-and-done stop out, and that was the first tell.
No early bid sponsorship. No responsive bounce.

From there:

  • CD1 Average Decline Targets ✔️

  • Penetration + Money Box zone tested ✔️

  • No DLMB response ✔️

  • Statistical Extremes activated ✔️

  • 10-Day ATR Bear Targets fulfilled ✔️

  • Prior Low lost and not reclaimed ✔️

  • $4B MOC Sell Imbalance ✔️

That’s not random weakness.
That’s organized liquidation.

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 2.12.26 link.

Transition: Cycle Day 1 → Cycle Day 2

“THE SNIPER MINDSET”…for traders.

A professional doesn’t act to relieve boredom.
He acts when edge meets conditions.

Most traders lose not because they can’t read a chart…
They lose because they can’t sit still.

The sniper mindset says:

  • Patience is not inactivity — it’s positioning.

  • Time invested does not create entitlement to a trade.

  • Opportunity must qualify itself.

  • No trigger = no shot. Period.

And the most important line:

Going home with a full magazine is not a failed mission.
It means discipline won.

In markets, flat is a position.
Cash is a position.
Restraint is a position.

The amateurs measure productivity by clicks.
Professionals measure it by quality of engagement.

You don’t get paid for participation.
You get paid for precision.

If the setup never prints, the correct action is withdrawal — not improvisation.

That’s not hesitation.
That’s command.

Very PTG energy in that philosophy.

Cycle Day 2 Mindset

  • Expect harder trade location

  • Expect faster punishment for mistakes

  • Expect fewer, higher-quality opportunities

  • Demand better execution than yesterday

This is where traders either:

  • Lean on process

  • Or get exposed by emotion

Cycle Day 1 rewarded those who waited.
Cycle Day 2 rewards those who stay sharp after being right.

Because in markets — just like in elite training —

BE A SNIPER!

🎯 Cycle Day 2 — Scenarios in Play

🟢 Bull Case — Buyers Stay in Control

Acceptance north of 6845 ±5

Upside objectives:
• 6865
• 6885
• 6895

🔴 Bear Case — Rotation / Reset

Acceptance south of 6845 ±5

Downside objectives:
• 6822
• 6807
• 6801

📊 Key Reference Levels

• PVA High Edge: 6944
• PVA Low Edge: 6860
• Prior POC: 6887

⚠️ Tactical Takeaway

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

   ESH

Nasdaq (NQ)

 

Transition: Cycle Day 1 → Cycle Day 2

Now that was a textbook Cycle Day 1 — with attitude.

The Nasdaq (NQ) didn’t just decline… it unloaded inventory with authority.

A full 10-day ATR flush — 633 handles of long liquidation — and price closed near the lows like it had unfinished business. That wasn’t emotional selling. That was purposeful repricing.

Let’s call it what it was:

Cycle Theory in full uniform.

  • CD1 liquidation exceeded historical extremes

  • No meaningful buy response

  • Zero bounce energy

  • Inventory aggressively marked down

There was no “maybe.”
No dip-buying heroics.
No hesitation.

Sellers came in organized. Structured. Decisive.

When a market closes near the low after stretching an entire ATR, it’s sending a message:
This wasn’t a shakeout — it was a reset.

Cycle Day 1 did exactly what CD1 is designed to do:
Purge weak longs. Reprice risk. Clear the board.

And when buyers don’t step in during a liquidation of that magnitude?
That tells you the auction wasn’t done exploring lower prices.

Professional money doesn’t flinch.
It executes.

This was inventory correction with intent.

Cycle Day 2 — The Real Work Begins

Cycle Day 1 resets the board.
Cycle Day 2 tests the resolve.

This is where professionals separate from spectators.

The mission isn’t flashy—it’s precise:

  • Stabilize price

  • Seek acceptance between buyers and sellers

  • Build structure, not headlines

Let balance do the heavy lifting.
Let time, not emotion, shape the tape.

No fireworks required.
No hero trades invited.

The Framework

✅ If structure holds → the higher path remains open
⚠️ If structure fails → price renegotiates, same rules, next session

🎯 Cycle Day 2 — Trading Focus

🟢 Bull Case — Buyers Hold Control

Acceptance north of 24865 ±10 opens upside to:
• 24,920 → 24,960 → 25,005

🔴 Bear Case — Downside Pressure

Acceptance south of 24865 ±10 keeps downside pressure alive:
• 24,785 → 24,755 → 24,720

📊 Key Reference Levels

• PVA High Edge: 25,041
• PVA Low Edge: 24,723
• Prior POC: 24,900

⚠️ Tactical Takeaway

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

NQH
Economic Calendar

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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