Markets
Source: SeekingAlpha.com
Economic Calendar
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/
S&P 500
Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal for CD1 as price declined and established a new cycle low at 4078.75. Prior range was 72 handles on 1.318M contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal for CD2 is back n fill consolidation to work off recent activity, though with today’s CPI print, volatility and range is expected to be elevated. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4150, initially targets 4175 – 4177 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4150, initially targets 4135 – 4130 zone.
PVA High Edge = 4150 PVA Low Edge = 4124 Prior POC = 4144
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2023 (H) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 4242; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4087; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4110; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4158; 10 Day Average True Range 73; VIX: 20
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal for CD1 as price declined and established a new cycle low at 12265.25. Prior range was 302 handles on 461k contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Normal for CD2 is back n fill consolidation to work off recent activity, though with today’s CPI print, volatility and range is expected to be elevated. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 12567, THEN initial upside estimate targets 12625– 12640 zone.
Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 12567, THEN initial downside estimate targets 12505 – 12470 zone.
PVA High Edge = 12566 PVA Low Edge = 12426 Prior POC = 12544
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2022 (H) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 12825; LOD ATR Range Projection: 12278; 3 Day Central Pivot: 12450; 3 Day Cycle Target: 12640; 10 Day Average True Range: 321; VIX: 20
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.
This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN