In Europe, at midday, London +0.3%. Paris +0.3%. Frankfurt +0.2%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.4%. S&P +0.3%. Nasdaq +0.4%. Crude +0.6% to $61.08. Gold -0.1% to $1325.20. Bitcoin -4.7% to $8716.
Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 2.85%
Economic Calendar
7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
8:30 Producer Price Index
8:30 Retail Sales
10:00 Atlanta Fed’s Business Inflation Expectations
10:00 Business Inventories
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
S&P 500 (ES)
Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price closed below CD1 Low (2783.75)…Typically when this occurs, normal is favored a rally to recover this break-point on CD3. Currently in overnight trade price has indeed rallied to 2783.50, within 1 tic of the level. Close enough!
Scenario 1: Bulls will need to continue the overnight recovery rally above the CD1 Low (2783.75), otherwise they could slip on the banana peel. Recovery target measures 2790 handle.
Scenario 2: Bears wanna CD1 Low (2783.75) rejection and force price back below 2776 handle targeting prior low (2768.25).
HOD ATR Range Projection: 2800.00; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2745.50; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2783.75; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2781.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2810.00; 10 Day Average True Range 37.48; VIX: 16.23
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price closed below CD1 Low (7124.00)…Typically when this occurs, normal is favored a rally to recover this break-point on CD3. Currently in overnight trade price has indeed rallied to 7121.50, within 2,5 pts of the level. Close enough!
Scenario 1: Bulls will need to continue the overnight recovery rally above the CD1 Low (7124.00), otherwise they could slip on the banana peel. Recovery target measures 7156.50 handle.
Scenario 2: Bears wanna CD1 Low (7124.00) rejection and force price back below 7092 handle targeting prior low (7050.50).
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ)
HOD ATR Range Projection: 7155.52; LOD ATR Range Projection: 7008.48; Cycle Day 1 Low: 7124.00; 3 Day Central Pivot: 7116.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 7184.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 113.02; VIX: 16.23
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.
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CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN