Trade Strategy 3.8.17

Markets

Traders this morning could get a clue about the big employment report coming on Friday – and get a good idea of how sure the case is for an interest rate hike next week. The ADP National Employment report is scheduled for release at 8:15 a.m. ET and should show creation of 190,000 private payrolls in February. In January, the private sector added a surprisingly high 246,000 jobs.

In Asia, Japan -0.5%. Hong Kong +0.4%. China flat. India -0.3%.
In Europe, at midday, London -0.2%. Paris -0.2%. Frankfurt -0.1%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.1%. S&P -0.1%. Nasdaq -0.1%. Crude -0.9% to $52.65. Gold -0.2% to $1214.10.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +3 bps to 2.54%

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
8:15 ADP Jobs Report
8:30 Productivity and Costs
10:00 Wholesale Trade
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:00 PM Results of $20B, 10-Year Note Auction

PTG Trading

S&P 500 e-mini (ES) is in a confirmed corrective pullback measured by two-sequential shifts in the 3 Day Central Pivot Zone, which is currently between 2378 – 2380. This zone becomes “key resistance” on any future attempt to rally.

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…The decline which began normally on CD1 continues into the overnight reaching 2361 handle which is projected downside target. Any further erosion measures 2357 down to 2352.50.

Note: Contract Rollover to June (M) begins Thursday.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2373.75; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2353.00; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2364.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2373.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2380.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 14.32

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

Click Here

Today’s Hypotheses: March 2017 (H) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1:  Bulls will need to hold price above 2361…Clear and convert 2368 – 70 to support to any additional downside. IF successful, THEN next objective is to convert 2376 to new upper support.

Scenario 2:  Bears have their opening to continue to press for lower prices with range targets measuring 2353- 2351 STATX Zone.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


Leave a Reply