Markets (Top Stories)
Source: SeekingAlpha.com
Economic Calendar
8:15 ADP Jobs Report
8:30 Goods and Services Trade
9:45 PMI Composite Final
10:00 ISM Service Index
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
S&P 500
***Written Tuesday evening for Wednesday’s trading for contribution to MrTopStep’s “The Opening Print” publication.
Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal CD1 unfolded as price declined establishing a new cycle low at 4115.25. Prior range was 56 handles on 1.531M contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal for CD2 would be for consolidation to absorb recent activity. The core initial “sandbox” (range) we’ll be working with is 4115 – 4135. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4115, initially targets 4130 – 4135 zone.
Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4115, initially targets 4110 – 4105 zone.
PVA High Edge = 4148 PVA Low Edge = 4116 Prior POC = 4130
*****The 3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Cycle Statistics covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.
For more detailed information for both bullish and bearish projected targets, please visit: PTG 3 Day Cycle and/or reference the Cycle Spreadsheet below:
Link to access full Cycle Spreadsheet > > Cycle Day 2 (CD2)
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) June 2023 (M) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 4168; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4084; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4135; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4184; 10 Day Average True Range 74; VIX: 19
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal CD1 unfolded as price declined establishing a new cycle low at 13168.25. Prior range was 180 handles on 571k contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2
This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal for CD2 would be for consolidation to absorb recent activity. The core initial “sandbox” (range) we’ll be working with is 13176 – 13247. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 13170, THEN initial upside estimate targets 13230– 13250 zone.
Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 13170, THEN initial downside estimate targets 13130 – 13120 zone.
PVA High Edge = 13270 PVA Low Edge = 13188 Prior POC = 13228
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) June 2023 (M) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 13415; LOD ATR Range Projection: 13009; 3 Day Central Pivot: 13235; 3 Day Cycle Target: 13426; 10 Day Average True Range: 238; VIX: 19
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN