Trade Strategy 6.28.17

Markets
 
In Asia, Japan -0.5%. Hong Kong -0.6%. China -0.5%. India -0.4%
In Europe, at midday, London flat. Paris -0.3%. Frankfurt -0.5%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.1%. S&P +0.1%. Nasdaq -0.3%. Crude -0.5% to $44.03. Gold +0.5% to $1253.40. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +5 bps to 2.25%
   
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
8:30 International trade in goods
10:00 Pending Home Sales
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
11:30 Results of $13B, 2-Year FRN Auction
1:00 PM Results of $28B, 7-Year Note Auction

PTG Trading

Weekly Review and Preview can be viewed @ PTG Preview 6.26 – 6.30

Prior DTS Report 6.27.17 comments played out near perfectly with violation breakdown of 2428 key support…

“Failed breakout in ES and reversal in NQ sent price back down into last weeks range. This sets up a potential test and possible break of 2428 key range low in S&P e-mini. Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Possible range low measures 2419.84 with cycle low 2414.65.”

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Odds favor a rebound rally attempt to recapture CD1 Low (2430.00). New key support marker now is 2416 handle. Violation and conversion of this level hints at deeper down-slide. 

 Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2428.85; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2408.90; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2428.00; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2431.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2447.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 15.10

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: September 2017 (U) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1: Bulls will need to hold PL (2416.50) and push back to recapture CD1 Low (2430.00). Three-Day Central Pivot (2431.50) is anticipated to act as overhead resistance.

Scenario 2: Bears are looking for a continuation day lower with a violation and conversion of 2416.50. IF successful, THEN lower levels 2406, 2402, 2396.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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