Trade Strategy 6.5.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Textbook CD2 as price held firm within a 25 handle range between 5974 – 5999. It was basically a “stalemate” as neither bulls or bears could gain any directional traction.

End of the Day Market on Close (MOC) leaned to $1B sell-side, as traders book squaring closed price near session low.

Context remains unchanged given today’s pause…Consolidation above Tuesday’s upper distribution between 5965 – 5995.

Range was 25 handles on 1.046M contracts exchanged.

FREE TRIAL link to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 5.30.25

Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Price is safely above the CD1 Low (5909.25) which will satisfy the Positive 3-Day Cycle Statistic, that has an 90.16% historical performance track record. 

Having closed on lows of the prior day, price would need to hold above 5975 and work to reclaim the upper distribution.

Breakdown below 5975 opens the trap door to explore “singles” down to 5965 – 5960 zone. Weekly VWAP resides @ 5958 and Prior Week High 5956 could also be exploratory levels on a decline.

 

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 5975+-, initially targets 5990 – 5995 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 5975+-, initially targets 5965 – 5960 zone.

PVA High Edge = 5996    PVA Low Edge = 5984         Prior POC = 5990

   ESM

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Textbook CD2 as it was basically a “stalemate” as neither bulls or bears could gain any directional traction. Range was 162 points on 396k contracts exchanged. 

 

Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

Transition into Cycle Day 3: Price is safely above the CD1 Low (21399.25) which will satisfy the Positive 3-Day Cycle Statistic, that has an 90.16% historical performance track record. 

Having closed mid-range, price continues to be in an upper distribution consolidation pattern.

Lower probes to explore the 21710 is a potential scenario, as well as reclaiming 21775 POC.

Be patient for your Triple A setups!

 

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 21750+-, initially targets 21775 – 21800 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 21750+-, initially targets 21725 –  21710 zone.

PVA High Edge = 21785     PVA Low Edge = 21716         Prior POC = 21771

NQM 

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

Comments are closed.