Trade Strategy 7.11.24

Markets

Economists surveyed by Dow Jones are looking for CPI to rise 0.1% month over month, and 3.1% year over year. The core CPI, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2% from May and 3.4% since June last year.

Source: cnbc.com

Economic Calendar

 S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: Expected decline for this cycle day was barely noticeable (shallow) and as such price rallied throughout the session, surpassing many upside targets and closing slightly off the high of the day. Shallow declines on Cycle Day 1 typically are a SOS (Sign Of Strength) and this session was no different. Range was 59 handles on 1.109M contracts exchanged.

 …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2 

This leads us into Cycle Day 2: Today is the all-important CPI release @ 8:30 am. Market has already rallied in-advance of today’s report, as traders are betting on softening inflation readings. (Expectations are noted above). Price is near cycle targets, so we’ll remain flexible given the potential volatility nature of this economic release.

You Know The Plan! Our discipline of maintaining positioning that is aligned with market forces continues to serve us well, so stay the course.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 5685, initially targets 5702 – 5707 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 5685, initially targets 5670 – 5665 zone.

PVA High Edge = 5673      PVA Low Edge = 5631         Prior POC = 5644

 

PTG 3 Day Cycle

EXCLUSIVE OFFER

*****The 3 Day Cycle has a 91.11% probability of fulfilling Positive Cycle Statistics covering 12 years of recorded tracking history. 

    Link to: Dynamic Range Projections (ES) Sept (U) 2024

ES Chart

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1: Expected decline for this cycle day was barely noticeable (shallow) and as such price rallied throughout the session, surpassing many upside targets and closing slightly off the high of the day. Shallow declines on Cycle Day 1 typically are a SOS (Sign Of Strength) and this session was no different. Range was 232 handles on 563k contracts exchanged.

 …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2 

This leads us into Cycle Day 2: Today is the all-important CPI release @ 8:30 am. Market has already rallied in-advance of today’s report, as traders are betting on softening inflation readings. (Expectations are noted above). Price is near cycle targets, so we’ll remain flexible given the potential volatility nature of this economic release.

You Know The Plan! Our discipline of maintaining positioning that is aligned with market forces continues to serve us well, so stay the course.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 20895, initially targets 20950 – 20980 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 20895, initially targets 20850 – 20815 zone.

PVA High Edge = 20637       PVA Low Edge = 20487         Prior POC = 20625

Link to: Dynamic Range Projections (NQ) Sept (U) 2024

NQ Chart

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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